{"id":14837,"date":"2024-01-23T21:07:38","date_gmt":"2024-01-23T20:07:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/east-sea.de\/?p=14837"},"modified":"2024-01-26T22:21:47","modified_gmt":"2024-01-26T21:21:47","slug":"tieng-viet-chau-au-voi-nguy-co-suy-thoai-kinh-te-vi-xung-dot-o-bien-do","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/2024\/01\/23\/tieng-viet-chau-au-voi-nguy-co-suy-thoai-kinh-te-vi-xung-dot-o-bien-do\/","title":{"rendered":"Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u1edbi nguy c\u01a1 suy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf v\u00ec xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf"},"content":{"rendered":"

L\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 hai trong 3 n\u0103m, m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u1edf khu v\u1ef1c l\u00e2n c\u1eadn c\u1ee7a ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111e d\u1ecda l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf v\u1ed1n \u0111ang g\u1eb7p kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n c\u1ee7a l\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecba gi\u00e0.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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L\u1ea7n n\u00e0y, c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Houthi \u1edf Yemen nh\u1eafm v\u00e0o c\u00e1c t\u00e0u ch\u1edf h\u00e0ng \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf \u0111\u00e3 bu\u1ed9c nhi\u1ec1u h\u00e3ng v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i ph\u1ea3i l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn h\u00e0nh tr\u00ecnh an to\u00e0n h\u01a1n nh\u01b0ng d\u00e0i h\u01a1n v\u00e0 t\u1ed1n k\u00e9m h\u01a1n \u0111i v\u00f2ng qua M\u0169i H\u1ea3o V\u1ecdng \u1edf c\u1ef1c Nam ch\u00e2u Phi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vi\u1ec7c thay \u0111\u1ed5i tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang l\u00e0m t\u0103ng chi ph\u00ed v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a v\u00e0 khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 b\u00e1n l\u1ebb lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng khan hi\u1ebfm h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1m d\u1eebng ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng do thi\u1ebfu c\u00e1c linh ki\u1ec7n c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft. N\u1ebfu m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda v\u1eabn ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf cho r\u1eb1ng, l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c2u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i, \u0111\u1ea9y l\u00f9i kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n


Ana Boata, nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ea1i c\u00f4ng ty b\u1ea3o hi\u1ec3m Allianz Trade, cho bi\u1ebft: \u201c\u0110\u00e2y r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng r\u1ee7i ro l\u1edbn, n\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e0 l\u00e0m t\u0103ng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t. Ch\u00fang ta c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 n\u00f3i v\u1ec1 nguy c\u01a1 suy tho\u00e1i\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00e1c t\u00e0u \u0111i qua Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n kho\u1ea3ng 40% h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a trao \u0111\u1ed5i gi\u1eefa ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c1. L\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Houthi ban \u0111\u1ea7u tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 nh\u1eafm m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau v\u00e0o c\u00e1c t\u00e0u c\u1ee7a Israel ho\u1eb7c nh\u1eefng t\u00e0u \u0111i \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c c\u1ea3ng c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y, nh\u01b0ng tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd bao g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c t\u00e0u qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf. \u0110i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y nhi\u1ec1u c\u00f4ng ty v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i chuy\u1ec3n h\u01b0\u1edbng sang tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111i v\u00f2ng qua M\u0169i H\u1ea3o V\u1ecdng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc, Tesla cho bi\u1ebft s\u1ef1 ch\u1eadm tr\u1ec5 trong vi\u1ec7c giao linh ki\u1ec7n do thay \u0111\u1ed5i l\u1ed9 tr\u00ecnh v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ec3n s\u1ebd bu\u1ed9c h\u00e3ng ph\u1ea3i t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi \u0111\u00ecnh ch\u1ec9 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t t\u1ea1i nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y l\u1edbn duy nh\u1ea5t \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c2u.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y t\u1ea1i B\u1ec9 c\u1ee7a Volvo Cars, h\u00e3ng s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t \u00f4 t\u00f4 Trung Qu\u1ed1c-Th\u1ee5y \u0110i\u1ec3n, c\u0169ng ph\u1ea3i ng\u1eebng s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t trong 3 ng\u00e0y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y c\u1ee7a Volkswagen kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u01b0ng h\u00e3ng n\u00e0y v\u1eabn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c theo d\u00f5i t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh v\u00e0 li\u00ean h\u1ec7 ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 cung c\u1ea5p.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Oxford Economics \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh, m\u1ed9t con t\u00e0u di chuy\u1ec3n v\u1edbi t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 16,5 h\u1ea3i l\u00fd\/gi\u1edd t\u1eeb \u0110\u00e0i Loan (Trung Qu\u1ed1c) \u0111\u1ebfn H\u00e0 Lan qua Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf v\u00e0 K\u00eanh \u0111\u00e0o Suez s\u1ebd m\u1ea5t kho\u1ea3ng 25,5 ng\u00e0y. N\u1ebfu h\u00e0nh tr\u00ecnh chuy\u1ec3n h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111i v\u00f2ng qua M\u0169i H\u1ea3o V\u1ecdng, th\u1eddi gian s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00ean kho\u1ea3ng 34 ng\u00e0y, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f2n k\u00e9o d\u00e0i h\u01a1n n\u1eefa n\u1ebfu c\u00e1c t\u00e0u chuy\u1ec3n h\u01b0\u1edbng ph\u1ea3i ch\u1edd ti\u1ebfp th\u00eam nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Th\u1eddi gian di chuy\u1ec3n k\u00e9o d\u00e0i th\u00eam s\u1ebd l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n h\u00e0ng n\u0103m c\u1ee7a m\u1ed7i t\u00e0u v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng d\u00e2y chuy\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ebfn chi ph\u00ed v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a. Theo Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Freightos Baltic, chi ph\u00ed trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ec3 v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a trong m\u1ed9t container \u0111i kh\u1eafp to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng g\u1ea5p \u0111\u00f4i trong kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 22\/12\/2023 \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u00e0y 12\/1\/2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn s\u1ebd ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 v\u00e0 th\u1eddi gian gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf t\u1ea1i Allianz Trade t\u00ednh to\u00e1n r\u1eb1ng kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian chi ph\u00ed v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n t\u0103ng g\u1ea5p \u0111\u00f4i k\u00e9o d\u00e0i h\u01a1n 3 th\u00e1ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea9y t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t c\u1ee7a khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed3ng euro l\u00ean 0,75 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m v\u00e0 l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf g\u1ea7n 1 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m. V\u1edbi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed3ng euro v\u1ed1n \u0111\u00e3 suy y\u1ebfu, \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea9y khu v\u1ef1c n\u00e0y v\u00e0o t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng thu h\u1eb9p trong n\u0103m 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Paolo Gentiloni, quan ch\u1ee9c kinh t\u1ebf h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a Li\u00ean minh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, n\u00f3i r\u1eb1ng t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf \u201cc\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c theo d\u00f5i ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd\u201d v\u00ec n\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t t\u0103ng tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i.
B\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00e1c th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch Covid-19<\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u00f9 v\u1eady, s\u1ef1 gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c2u hi\u1ec7u nay \u00edt nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng t\u1eafc ngh\u1ebdn n\u0103m 2020 v\u00e0 2021. T\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd nh\u1ecf h\u01a1n t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u1ee9ng. C\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 r\u00fat ra b\u00e0i h\u1ecdc t\u1eeb s\u1ef1 gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n trong \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch Covid-19 v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u00e0ng l\u01b0u kho l\u1edbn h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00d4ng ch\u1ee7 IKEA, Jesper Brodin cho bi\u1ebft xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh tr\u00ecnh v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n b\u1eb1ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd k\u00e9o d\u00e0i th\u00eam kho\u1ea3ng 10 ng\u00e0y, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed l\u00e2u h\u01a1n nh\u01b0ng kh\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cS\u1ef1 kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t l\u1edbn \u1edf th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m hi\u1ec7n nay l\u00e0 ch\u00fang t\u00f4i \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ed3i ph\u1ee5c sau \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch. S\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u00e0ng trong kho c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang t\u00f4i v\u1eabn \u0111\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec3 cung \u1ee9ng cho kh\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng\u201d, \u00f4ng Brodin cho bi\u1ebft t\u1ea1i Di\u1ec5n \u0111\u00e0n Kinh t\u1ebf Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u1edf Davos, Th\u1ee5y S\u0129.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u00e0 b\u00e1n l\u1ebb gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 Pepco cho bi\u1ebft xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf \u00edt \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u00e0ng s\u1eb5n c\u00f3 nh\u01b0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn ngu\u1ed3n cung trong nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ng t\u1edbi n\u1ebfu t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng n\u00e0y ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n. C\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Houthi v\u00e0o t\u00e0u th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 c\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n giao ngay cao h\u01a1n v\u00e0 th\u1eddi gian v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n b\u1ecb k\u00e9o d\u00e0i h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00f3 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 l\u00fd do khi\u1ebfn t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u00edt nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng chi ph\u00ed v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Patrick Lepperhoff, chuy\u00ean gia t\u01b0 v\u1ea5n c\u1ee7a Inverto, m\u1ed9t \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb c\u1ee7a BCG, cho bi\u1ebft c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 gi\u00fap c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n cho nh\u1eefng c\u00fa s\u1ed1c b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngo\u00e0i s\u1ef1 chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n, m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng kinh t\u1ebf c\u0169ng kh\u00e1c so v\u1edbi th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch \u2014 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng tr\u00ean to\u00e0n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. Cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng hi\u1ec7n nay mang t\u00ednh c\u1ee5c b\u1ed9, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 cung c\u1ea5p c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn thay th\u1ebf h\u01a1n v\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u doanh nghi\u1ec7p c\u0169ng gi\u1eef l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u00e0ng trong kho l\u1edbn h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch x\u1ea3y ra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cBi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n nguy hi\u1ec3m \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u nh\u01b0 nh\u1eefng s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n c\u00e1ch \u0111\u00e2y v\u00e0i n\u0103m\u201d, \u00f4ng Lepperhoff cho bi\u1ebft.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

BDN<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n

Aufrufe: 310<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

L\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 hai trong 3 n\u0103m, m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u1edf khu v\u1ef1c l\u00e2n c\u1eadn c\u1ee7a ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111e d\u1ecda l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf v\u1ed1n \u0111ang g\u1eb7p kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n c\u1ee7a l\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecba gi\u00e0. L\u1ea7n n\u00e0y, c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Houthi \u1edf Yemen nh\u1eafm v\u00e0o c\u00e1c t\u00e0u ch\u1edf h\u00e0ng \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[97,1,37],"tags":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14837"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14837"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"http:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14837\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14855,"href":"http:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14837\/revisions\/14855"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14837"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14837"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14837"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}