{"id":11759,"date":"2022-12-13T18:07:41","date_gmt":"2022-12-13T17:07:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/east-sea.de\/?p=11759"},"modified":"2022-12-15T22:44:19","modified_gmt":"2022-12-15T21:44:19","slug":"tieng-viet-chuyen-gia-new-zealand-danh-gia-the-gioi-2022-mot-trat-tu-moi-dang-dinh-hinh-lon-xon-phuc-tap-va-nhieu-bay","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/2022\/12\/13\/tieng-viet-chuyen-gia-new-zealand-danh-gia-the-gioi-2022-mot-trat-tu-moi-dang-dinh-hinh-lon-xon-phuc-tap-va-nhieu-bay\/","title":{"rendered":"Chuy\u00ean gia New Zealand \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi 2022: M\u1ed9t tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 m\u1edbi \u0111ang \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh, l\u1ed9n x\u1ed9n, ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p v\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u ‘b\u1eaby'"},"content":{"rendered":"

Nh\u1eefng thay \u0111\u1ed5i v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac trong c\u00e1c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi v\u1eabn \u0111ang ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n khi n\u0103m 2022 s\u1eafp k\u1ebft th\u00fac. Tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 m\u1edbi ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3, nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ea5y r\u00f5 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 \u0111\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Nh\u00e0 ngo\u1ea1i giao k\u1ef3 c\u1ef1u New Zealand Ian Hill \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 v\u1ec1 c\u1ee5c di\u1ec7n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi trong n\u0103m 2022. (Ngu\u1ed3n: mgimo.ru)<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ed9t tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 \u0111ang \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea7y ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Trang m\u1ea1ng c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7n Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Lowy<\/em> ng\u00e0y 13\/12 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u0103ng b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 ngo\u1ea1i giao k\u1ef3 c\u1ef1u New Zealand, \u0110\u1ea1i s\u1ee9 Ian Hill \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 v\u1ec1 nh\u1eefng thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u1ee5c di\u1ec7n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi trong n\u0103m qua.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Theo nh\u00e0 ngo\u1ea1i giao Ian Hill, nh\u1eefng thay \u0111\u1ed5i v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac trong c\u00e1c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi v\u1eabn \u0111ang ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n khi n\u0103m 2022 s\u1eafp k\u1ebft th\u00fac. Xung \u0111\u1ed9t Nga – Ukraine \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0a th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t k\u1ef7 nguy\u00ean ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p h\u01a1n. Tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 m\u1edbi n\u00e0y ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3, nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ea5y r\u00f5 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 \u0111\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00e1c \u0111\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 c\u00f3 li\u00ean quan v\u1edbi nhau v\u00e0 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng qua l\u1ea1i. Do \u0111\u00f3, ch\u00fang kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem x\u00e9t ho\u1eb7c gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ri\u00eang r\u1ebd. \u00d4ng Ian Hill \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u00ecnh v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t chuy\u00ean gia khi m\u00f4 t\u1ea3 \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 “\u0111a kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng”.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u00e0 ngo\u1ea1i giao k\u1ef3 c\u1ef1u c\u1ee7a New Zealand nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00fang ta \u0111ang tr\u1ea3i qua m\u1ed9t m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p h\u01a1n, \u0111\u1ea7y c\u1ea1nh tranh v\u00e0 kh\u00f3 l\u01b0\u1eddng h\u01a1n. C\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 \u1edf \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 chuy\u1ec3n d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7n d\u1ea7n d\u00f9 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u1ec1u c\u1ee7a quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c kinh t\u1ebf ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u t\u1eeb ch\u00e2u \u00c2u-\u0110\u1ea1i T\u00e2y D\u01b0\u01a1ng sang c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Theo \u00f4ng Ian Hill, khi c\u1ea1nh tranh gia t\u0103ng gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c, n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, th\u1ef1c ph\u1ea9m, di c\u01b0 v\u00e0 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u… \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb “v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u00f3a”. Hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 c\u1ea1nh tranh l\u1edbn h\u01a1n trong ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u cho d\u00f9 tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3n hay trong kh\u00f4ng gian.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00d4ng Ian Hill cho r\u1eb1ng s\u1ef1 c\u1ea1nh tranh gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111ang gia t\u0103ng – cho d\u00f9 trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, an ninh hay kinh t\u1ebf. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ng\u01b0\u1eddi m\u00f4 t\u1ea3 cu\u1ed9c c\u1ea1nh tranh n\u00e0y gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 “b\u1eaby Thucydides”<\/em>, theo \u0111\u00f3 M\u1ef9 l\u00e0 c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c l\u00e2u \u0111\u1eddi \u0111ang \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 l\u1ea1i s\u1ef1 tr\u1ed7i d\u1eady c\u1ee7a c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Tam gi\u00e1c M\u1ef9-Trung-Nga s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n v\u00e0 \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 quan tr\u1ecdng trong c\u1ee5c di\u1ec7n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m t\u1edbi. (Ngu\u1ed3n: smh.com.au)<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

“S\u1ef1 \u0111a c\u1ef1c l\u1ed9n x\u1ed9n”<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, ch\u00fang ta c\u0169ng \u0111ang ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a c\u00e1i m\u00e0 \u0110\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n c\u1ea5p cao chuy\u00ean v\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch an ninh v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Li\u00ean minh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u (EU) Josep Borrell g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 “s\u1ef1 \u0111a c\u1ef1c l\u1ed9n x\u1ed9n”, trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c c\u1ea5p hai, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3, Saudi Arabia v\u00e0 Brazil, \u0111ang c\u1ea1nh tranh \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 l\u1ee3i \u00edch qu\u1ed1c gia, g\u00e2y \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf trong m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u linh ho\u1ea1t v\u00e0 c\u1ea1nh tranh h\u01a1n n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Theo quan \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 ngo\u1ea1i giao k\u1ef3 c\u1ef1u New Zealand, c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n th\u01b0\u1eddng mu\u1ed1n tr\u00e1nh b\u1ecb l\u00f4i k\u00e9o v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c ch\u1ecdn b\u00ean trong cu\u1ed9c c\u1ea1nh tranh \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 g\u00ec \u0111\u00e1ng ng\u1ea1c nhi\u00ean khi nh\u1eefng n\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u1ecf c\u0169ng mu\u1ed1n t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng cu\u1ed9c c\u1ea1nh tranh \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf cho ri\u00eang m\u00ecnh (bao g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ea3o Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng trong cu\u1ed9c c\u1ea1nh tranh gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c). C\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ea3o lo l\u1eafng v\u00ec c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng mang l\u1ea1i l\u1ee3i \u00edch cho h\u1ecd \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 v\u1ec1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed5i kh\u00ed h\u1eadu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, \u00f4ng Ian Hill ch\u1ec9 ra r\u1eb1ng s\u1ef1 t\u1ed5n th\u01b0\u01a1ng c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111ang ng\u00e0y m\u1ed9t r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng h\u01a1n. L\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t cao quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u00e0 lan r\u1ed9ng do xung \u0111\u1ed9t Nga – Ukraine (gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 l\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ef1c, n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9t bi\u1ebfn). B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch Covid-19 l\u00e0m gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t g\u00e2y t\u1ed5n h\u1ea1i cho c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n, suy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u c\u0169ng s\u1ebd \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ebfn M\u1ef9, ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u00e0 ngo\u1ea1i giao New Zealand nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111ang h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi s\u1ef1 \u201cchia t\u00e1ch to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u\u201d – theo \u0111\u00f3 t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch x\u00f3a b\u1ecf s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c l\u1eabn nhau v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf do nh\u1eefng lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch. B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed5i kh\u00ed h\u1eadu \u0111\u00e3 chuy\u1ec3n sang giai \u0111o\u1ea1n quan tr\u1ecdng. C\u00e1c t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng c\u1ee7a bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed1i kh\u00ed h\u1eadu \u0111ang l\u00e0m tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng th\u00eam s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ee9t g\u1eaby to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00d4ng Ian Hill \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi c\u0169ng c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o c\u00e1c th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf v\u00e0 quy tr\u00ecnh qu\u1ea3n tr\u1ecb to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111ang c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u b\u1ecb suy y\u1ebfu. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, c\u1ea1nh tranh M\u1ef9-Trung Qu\u1ed1c gia t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed3ng ngh\u0129a v\u1edbi c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng v\u00e0 b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n gia t\u0103ng \u1edf \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 D\u01b0\u01a1ng-Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng. C\u00f9ng v\u1edbi kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng suy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n li\u00ean t\u1ee5c ph\u00e1t sinh t\u1eeb xung \u0111\u1ed9t Nga – Ukraine, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn an ninh v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 th\u1ecbnh v\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia nh\u1ecf.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u1edbn s\u1ebd c\u00e0ng l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c \u0111a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 trong c\u00e1c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u c\u1ea5p b\u00e1ch nh\u01b0 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed5i kh\u00ed h\u1eadu, \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng. Cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng, nh\u00e0 ngo\u1ea1i giao Ian Hill cho r\u1eb1ng trong m\u1ed9t m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb mang t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u h\u01a1n, c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u1ecf s\u1ebd c\u00e0ng kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n h\u01a1n trong vi\u1ec7c qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c. H\u1ecd s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi \u00e1p l\u1ef1c ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ecdn b\u00ean: c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0a ra c\u00e1c l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 th\u1ecfa hi\u1ec7p kh\u00f3 x\u1eed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u00e2y kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 nan gi\u1ea3i m\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u1ecf. Vi\u1ec7c b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 c\u00e1c l\u1ee3i \u00edch s\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd s\u1ebd \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi s\u1ef1 c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng: trung th\u00e0nh v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00f4n tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi th\u00edch \u1ee9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111ang thay \u0111\u1ed5i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

tg&vn<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n

Aufrufe: 268<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nh\u1eefng thay \u0111\u1ed5i v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac trong c\u00e1c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi v\u1eabn \u0111ang ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n khi n\u0103m 2022 s\u1eafp k\u1ebft th\u00fac. Tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 m\u1edbi ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3, nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ea5y r\u00f5 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 \u0111\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m. Nh\u00e0 ngo\u1ea1i giao k\u1ef3 c\u1ef1u New Zealand Ian Hill \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[97,1,37],"tags":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11759"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11759"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11759\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11800,"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11759\/revisions\/11800"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11759"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11759"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11759"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}