{"id":16256,"date":"2024-10-20T20:47:58","date_gmt":"2024-10-20T18:47:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/east-sea.de\/?p=16256"},"modified":"2024-10-22T14:20:21","modified_gmt":"2024-10-22T12:20:21","slug":"tieng-viet-lo-thuoc-no-trieu-han-da-co-nguoi-kich-lua","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/2024\/10\/20\/tieng-viet-lo-thuoc-no-trieu-han-da-co-nguoi-kich-lua\/","title":{"rendered":"L\u00f2 thu\u1ed1c n\u1ed5 Tri\u1ec1u-H\u00e0n \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 ng\u01b0\u1eddi k\u00edch l\u1eeda"},"content":{"rendered":"

B\u00ecnh Nh\u01b0\u1ee1ng \u0111ang ch\u01a1i b\u00e0i khi\u1ebfn Nga v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c m\u00e2u thu\u1eabn nhau \u2013 v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e3 t\u1eeb b\u1ecf m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng h\u00f3a quan h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi M\u1ef9.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Th\u00e1ng Gi\u00eang n\u0103m nay, hai nh\u00e0 quan s\u00e1t Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean gi\u00e0u kinh nghi\u1ec7m Robert Carlin v\u00e0 Siegfried Hecker \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi ng\u1ea1c nhi\u00ean khi vi\u1ebft r\u1eb1ng nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o Kim Jong Un \u0111ang chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb cho chi\u1ebfn tranh. Quan ng\u1ea1i n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 h\u01a1i th\u00e1i qu\u00e1, nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 c\u01a1 s\u1edf. T\u00f4i \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m vi\u1ec7c v\u1ec1 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean \u1edf c\u1ea3 trong v\u00e0 ngo\u00e0i ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 su\u1ed1t 30 n\u0103m qua, v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, B\u00e1n \u0111\u1ea3o Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 nguy hi\u1ec3m v\u00e0 b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n h\u01a1n b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0o k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 1950.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

K\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2019, ba thay \u0111\u1ed5i chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f3 li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn nhau, xoay quanh v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m m\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7u l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng cho ngo\u1ea1i giao M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 1992. \u0110\u1ea7u ti\u00ean, sau h\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb th\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec9nh kh\u00f4ng th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng gi\u1eefa Kim v\u00e0 c\u1ef1u T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Donald Trump v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2019 t\u1ea1i H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i, Kim \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 m\u1ed9t k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch 5 n\u0103m v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2021 \u2013 \u0111\u1eb7t m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng kho v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n v\u00e0 t\u00ean l\u1eeda l\u1edbn, bao g\u1ed3m ICBM nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u r\u1eafn, \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea1n thu nh\u1ecf, v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n chi\u1ebfn thu\u1eadt, v\u00e0 t\u00ean l\u1eeda si\u00eau thanh. Vi\u1ec7c Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o t\u1ed5 h\u1ee3p c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd c\u1ee7a Kim r\u1eb1ng h\u1ecd s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng t\u1eeb b\u1ecf v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n (\u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n trong hi\u1ebfn ph\u00e1p v\u00e0 h\u1ecdc thuy\u1ebft h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n ph\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd) cho th\u1ea5y m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i t\u01b0 th\u1ebf chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u1eefng n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c m\u1edbi v\u00e0 \u00fd \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00eau n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u00e1n c\u00e2n chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u1edf \u0110\u00f4ng B\u1eafc \u00c1, \u0111\u1eb7t ra nh\u1eefng c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi m\u1edbi v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady c\u1ee7a kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng r\u0103n \u0111e m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y mong mu\u1ed1n s\u1edf h\u1eefu v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

K\u1ebf \u0111\u1ebfn l\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c B\u00ecnh Nh\u01b0\u1ee1ng t\u00e1i \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb. B\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c Kim t\u1eeb b\u1ecf m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau l\u00e2u d\u00e0i c\u1ee7a Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean l\u00e0 b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng h\u00f3a quan h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi M\u1ef9, nh\u1eb1m h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 logic c\u1ee7a ba th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 ngo\u1ea1i giao h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00f9ng l\u00fac \u0111\u00f3, B\u00ecnh Nh\u01b0\u1ee1ng c\u0169ng h\u00e0n g\u1eafn quan h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c, v\u1ed1n \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf n\u00ean c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng sau khi B\u1eafc Kinh \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Li\u00ean Hi\u1ec7p Qu\u1ed1c nh\u1eafm v\u00e0o Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean sau khi n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh c\u00e1c v\u1ee5 th\u1eed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2016 v\u00e0 2017. Kim \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ebfn th\u0103m B\u1eafc Kinh v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 1\/2019, v\u00e0 Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Trung Qu\u1ed1c T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 chuy\u1ebfn th\u0103m \u0111\u00e1p l\u1ec5 t\u1edbi B\u00ecnh Nh\u01b0\u1ee1ng v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 6 c\u00f9ng n\u0103m. T\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ebfn nay, Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 Nga \u0111\u00e3 ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n c\u00e1c n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 nh\u1eb1m \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t m\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c th\u1eed nghi\u1ec7m ICBM c\u1ee7a Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u00e0ng tr\u1edf n\u00ean bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng khi Nga thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp quan h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c an ninh m\u1edbi v\u1edbi Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean sau cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c Ukraine, s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng vi\u1ec7n tr\u1ee3 kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed5i l\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ea1n d\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0 t\u00ean l\u1eeda. \u0110\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i n\u00e0y khi\u1ebfn Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u1ea3m th\u1ea5y kh\u00f4ng tho\u1ea3i m\u00e1i, nh\u01b0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n trong c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn ri\u00eang gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1edbi gi\u1edbi nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u. H\u1ecd lo ng\u1ea1i T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Nga Vladimir Putin \u0111ang tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y thay th\u1ebf B\u1eafc Kinh v\u00e0 t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 h\u1ed3i th\u1eadp ni\u00ean 1950-1960, khi \u00f4ng n\u1ed9i c\u1ee7a Kim Jong Un, Kim Il Sung, \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn hai c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c c\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i nhau.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Thay \u0111\u1ed5i th\u1ee9 ba c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng k\u00e9m ph\u1ea7n s\u00e2u s\u1eafc: V\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 1, Kim \u0111\u00e3 t\u1eeb b\u1ecf ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch th\u1ed1ng nh\u1ea5t v\u1ed1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng trong v\u00f2ng 70 n\u0103m qua, trong \u0111\u00f3 Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean v\u00e0 H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ecbnh ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 chung huy\u1ebft th\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0ng b\u1ecb chia c\u1eaft b\u1edfi l\u1ecbch s\u1eed, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 \u201ck\u1ebb th\u00f9 ch\u00ednh.\u201d \u00d4ng k\u00eau g\u1ecdi thay \u0111\u1ed5i hi\u1ebfn ph\u00e1p c\u1ee7a Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean \u2013 x\u00f3a b\u1ecf cam k\u1ebft th\u1ed1ng nh\u1ea5t \u2013 gi\u1ea3i th\u1ec3 c\u00e1c c\u01a1 quan x\u1eed l\u00fd qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh h\u00f2a gi\u1ea3i B\u1eafc-Nam v\u00e0 ph\u00e1 b\u1ecf t\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u00e0i th\u1ed1ng nh\u1ea5t \u1edf B\u00ecnh Nh\u01b0\u1ee1ng m\u00e0 cha \u00f4ng \u0111\u00e3 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00e1c s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 nh\u1eefng thay \u0111\u1ed5i n\u00e0y. \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Kim, c\u00e1c chu k\u1ef3 b\u1ea7u c\u1eed c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i th\u00fa v\u1ecb \u0111\u1ec3 truy\u1ec1n t\u1ea3i th\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec7p. V\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9, B\u00ecnh Nh\u01b0\u1ee1ng \u0111\u00e3 ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1t c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c th\u1eed t\u00ean l\u1eeda \u0111\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ea1o t\u1ea7m ng\u1eafn, v\u00e0 Kim \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ec1 s\u1ebd chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ec3 chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u v\u1edbi M\u1ef9. Sau \u0111\u00f3, nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t l\u1eddi \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o, \u00f4ng \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 m\u1ed9t b\u1ee9c \u1ea3nh hi\u1ebfm hoi ghi l\u1ea1i c\u1ea3nh \u00f4ng \u0111ang \u0111i d\u1ea1o qua m\u1ed9t nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y l\u00e0m gi\u00e0u uranium tuy\u1ec7t m\u1eadt v\u00e0 cam k\u1ebft ch\u1ebf t\u1ea1o th\u00eam v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n. Nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u00e2y ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 kh\u00fac d\u1ea1o \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng g\u00ec ch\u00fang ta c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 mong \u0111\u1ee3i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u1ea1i sao t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y l\u1ea1i quan tr\u1ecdng? Ch\u00ed \u00edt l\u00e0 \u1edf hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, Kim \u0111\u00e3 lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf c\u1ea3 phi h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n h\u00f3a l\u1eabn th\u1ed1ng nh\u1ea5t B\u1eafc-Nam kh\u1ecfi b\u00e0n \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n \u2013 b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p s\u1ef1 th\u1eadt r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u00e2y v\u1eabn l\u00e0 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang n\u1eb1m trong cu\u1ed9c c\u1ea1nh tranh c\u00f3 t\u1ed5ng b\u1eb1ng kh\u00f4ng gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c. Nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng n\u00f3 s\u1ebd t\u1ea1o ra hai kh\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ed1i l\u1eadp \u1edf \u0110\u00f4ng B\u1eafc \u00c1: kh\u1ed1i th\u1ee9 nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c, Nga, v\u00e0 Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean, v\u00e0 kh\u1ed1i c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i l\u00e0 M\u1ef9, H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c, v\u00e0 Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n. Nh\u1eefng m\u1ed1i quan t\u00e2m chung v\u1ec1 ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n t\u1eebng khi\u1ebfn Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 Nga ch\u1ecbu h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c trong c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n s\u00e1u b\u00ean (bao g\u1ed3m M\u1ef9, Trung Qu\u1ed1c, Nga, Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean) gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n. Kim hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang tr\u1edf n\u00ean t\u00e1o b\u1ea1o h\u01a1n bao gi\u1edd h\u1ebft nh\u1edd kho v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n v\u00e0 t\u00ean l\u1eeda \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean, s\u1ef1 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 t\u1eeb Putin, v\u00e0 t\u1ec7 nh\u1ea5t, l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 th\u1edd \u01a1 t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1eebng v\u1ed9i tin l\u1eddi t\u00f4i n\u00f3i. M\u1ed9t b\u00e1o c\u00e1o n\u0103m 2023 c\u1ee7a H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng T\u00ecnh b\u00e1o Qu\u1ed1c gia v\u1ec1 Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e1c th\u1ea3o m\u1ed9t m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng r\u1ee7i ro m\u1edbi. K\u1ebft lu\u1eadn c\u1ee7a b\u00e1o c\u00e1o l\u00e0:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean r\u1ea5t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ec3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 cho ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ngo\u1ea1i giao c\u01b0\u1ee1ng ch\u1ebf, v\u00e0 g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn s\u1ebd c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u01b0\u1ee1ng ch\u1ebf ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng nguy hi\u1ec3m h\u01a1n khi ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0 s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng kho v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n v\u00e0 t\u00ean l\u1eeda \u0111\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ea1o c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y t\u0103ng l\u00ean.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u00f9 b\u00e1o c\u00e1o \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 r\u1eb1ng Kim s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n tr\u1eeb khi \u00f4ng \u201ctin r\u1eb1ng ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 \u0111ang g\u1eb7p nguy hi\u1ec3m,\u201d n\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 \u00e1m ch\u1ec9 nguy c\u01a1 x\u1ea3y ra t\u00ednh to\u00e1n sai l\u1ea7m khi tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1, \u201c\u00d4ng ta c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn r\u1ee7i ro qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u1edbn h\u01a1n, v\u00ec tin r\u1eb1ng v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n s\u1ebd ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng d\u1eef d\u1ed9i kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1p tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 ho\u1eb7c H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

B\u00e1o c\u00e1o nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh \u201cm\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng nh\u1eb1m chi\u1ebfm gi\u1eef l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ef1 th\u1ed1ng tr\u1ecb ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb tr\u00ean B\u00e1n \u0111\u1ea3o Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean\u201d b\u1eb1ng v\u0169 l\u1ef1c \u201c\u00edt c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng x\u1ea3y ra h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u01b0\u1ee1ng ch\u1ebf,\u201d nh\u01b0ng b\u00e1o c\u00e1o c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0a ra m\u1ed9t c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o quan tr\u1ecdng m\u00e0 t\u00f4i cho r\u1eb1ng h\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng c\u00f3 l\u1ebd s\u1ebd xem x\u00e9t l\u1ea1i:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng s\u1ebd c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng x\u1ea3y ra h\u01a1n n\u1ebfu Kim tin r\u1eb1ng \u00f4ng ta c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh b\u1ea1i qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n s\u1ef1 can thi\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 duy tr\u00ec s\u1ef1 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c, ho\u1eb7c n\u1ebfu \u00f4ng ta k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng trong n\u01b0\u1edbc ho\u1eb7c qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf l\u00e0 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau x\u00e9t l\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u1eefng k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n n\u00e0o c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra t\u1eeb m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u01b0 v\u1eady? M\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00f3ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn leo thang l\u00e0 Ranh gi\u1edbi ph\u00eda B\u1eafc (NLL), t\u1ee9c bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3n gi\u1eefa hai mi\u1ec1n Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean. NLL \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c B\u1ed9 T\u01b0 l\u1ec7nh Li\u00ean Hi\u1ec7p Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00e2n \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0o kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian \u0111\u00ecnh chi\u1ebfn n\u0103m 1953, nh\u01b0ng n\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean tranh ch\u1ea5p v\u00e0 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh ngu\u1ed3n g\u1ed1c c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng b\u1ea5t b\u00ecnh \u00e2m \u1ec9 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ed9 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 r\u1ea3i r\u00e1c. N\u0103m 2010, B\u00ecnh Nh\u01b0\u1ee1ng \u0111\u00e3 n\u1ed5 s\u00fang v\u00e0o \u0110\u1ea3o Yeonpyeong, m\u1ed9t trong n\u0103m h\u00f2n \u0111\u1ea3o m\u00e0 NLL x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u00e0 c\u1ee7a H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c. Cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ebft ch\u1ebft hai l\u00ednh Th\u1ee7y qu\u00e2n L\u1ee5c chi\u1ebfn H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1nh ch\u00ecm m\u1ed9t t\u00e0u c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y. Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean \u0111\u00e3 m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa b\u1eafn \u0111\u1ea1n ph\u00e1o g\u1ea7n h\u00f2n \u0111\u1ea3o n\u00e0y v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m nay.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trong c\u00f9ng b\u00e0i ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 1, khi Kim k\u00eau g\u1ecdi thay \u0111\u1ed5i hi\u1ebfn ph\u00e1p v\u00e0 tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 \u201ck\u1ebb th\u00f9 ch\u00ednh\u201d c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh, \u00f4ng c\u0169ng \u00e1m ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c s\u1eeda \u0111\u1ed5i c\u00e1c y\u00eau s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi NLL t\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai c\u1ee7a H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng Nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n T\u1ed1i cao (SPA): \u201cV\u00ec bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi ph\u00eda nam c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc ch\u00fang ta \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1ea1ch ra r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng, n\u00ean \u2018ranh gi\u1edbi ph\u00eda b\u1eafc\u2019 b\u1ea5t h\u1ee3p ph\u00e1p v\u00e0 b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 ranh gi\u1edbi n\u00e0o kh\u00e1c s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng bao gi\u1edd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c dung th\u1ee9, v\u00e0 n\u1ebfu H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c vi ph\u1ea1m d\u00f9 ch\u1ec9 0,001 mm v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ea5t, v\u00f9ng tr\u1eddi, v\u00e0 v\u00f9ng bi\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang ta, th\u00ec \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd b\u1ecb coi l\u00e0 h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng k\u00edch \u0111\u1ed9ng chi\u1ebfn tranh.\u201d Kim \u0111\u00e3 l\u00ean l\u1ecbch h\u1ecdp cho SPA v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 07\/10.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u1eefng r\u1ee7i ro ph\u00e1t sinh t\u1eeb t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf tr\u00ean B\u00e1n \u0111\u1ea3o Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean v\u00e0 t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u1edf \u0110\u00f4ng B\u1eafc \u00c1 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n nguy hi\u1ec3m, nh\u01b0ng ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra. \u0110\u1ea7u ti\u00ean l\u00e0 k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u00e1o tr\u01b0\u1edbc trong b\u00e1o c\u00e1o c\u1ee7a H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng T\u00ecnh b\u00e1o Qu\u1ed1c gia v\u00e0 b\u1edfi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sau khi l\u00ean \u00e1n cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 M\u1ef9-H\u00e0n, B\u00ecnh Nh\u01b0\u1ee1ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn b\u1eafn \u0111\u1ea1n th\u1eadt g\u1ea7n hai h\u00f2n \u0111\u1ea3o, sau \u0111\u00f3 b\u1eafn m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ea1n ph\u00e1o, v\u00e0 k\u1ebf \u0111\u1ebfn l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed5 b\u1ed9 l\u00ean \u0110\u1ea3o Yeonpyeong. Nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 nh\u1eb1m ki\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i v\u00e0 Seoul s\u1ebd g\u1eedi l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e2n v\u00e0 h\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ebfn khu v\u1ef1c n\u00e0y, b\u1eafn ph\u00e1 c\u00e1c t\u00e0u c\u1ee7a Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed5 b\u1ed9 Th\u1ee7y qu\u00e2n L\u1ee5c chi\u1ebfn l\u00ean \u0111\u1ea3o. Khi giao tranh x\u1ea3y ra, B\u00ecnh Nh\u01b0\u1ee1ng s\u1ebd b\u1eafn m\u1ed9t v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n chi\u1ebfn thu\u1eadt v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t h\u00f2n \u0111\u1ea3o kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u1edf g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Li\u1ec7u M\u1ef9 hay H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd c\u00f3 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u00e0 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn nguy c\u01a1 leo thang? Li\u1ec7u Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd ph\u1ee7 quy\u1ebft m\u1ed9t ngh\u1ecb quy\u1ebft c\u1ee7a H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng B\u1ea3o an Li\u00ean Hi\u1ec7p Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi v\u1ee5 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb Hiroshima, hay s\u1ebd h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c v\u1edbi M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh? V\u00e0o th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m m\u00e0 c\u1ea3 M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ec1u thi\u1ebfu c\u00e1c k\u00eanh li\u00ean l\u1ea1c ngo\u1ea1i giao ho\u1eb7c qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady v\u1edbi B\u00ecnh Nh\u01b0\u1ee1ng, t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng tr\u1edf n\u00ean m\u1ea5t ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

K\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n \u0111\u00e1ng b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn hai m\u1eb7t tr\u1eadn \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c1 n\u1ebfu kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi x\u1ea3y ra \u1edf c\u1ea3 Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean v\u00e0 \u0110\u00e0i Loan. Trong m\u1ed9t b\u00e1o c\u00e1o chuy\u00ean s\u00e2u n\u0103m 2023 d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 t\u1eeb c\u00e1c tr\u00f2 ch\u01a1i chi\u1ebfn tranh, c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c ph\u1ecfng v\u1ea5n v\u1edbi c\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c, v\u00e0 c\u00e1c h\u1ed9i th\u1ea3o chuy\u00ean \u0111\u1ec1, Markus Garlauskas, c\u1ef1u s\u0129 quan t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o qu\u1ed1c gia M\u1ef9 v\u1ec1 Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean, \u0111\u00e3 n\u00eau chi ti\u1ebft c\u00e1ch m\u00e0 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch r\u0103n \u0111e c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 nh\u1eefng logic v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn Kim t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c n\u1ebfu Trung Qu\u1ed1c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0110\u00e0i Loan v\u00e0 M\u1ef9 can thi\u1ec7p qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1, theo \u0111\u00f3 chuy\u1ec3n h\u01b0\u1edbng s\u1ef1 t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0 ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c. Ho\u1eb7c ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng x\u1ea3y ra c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u1ed1i h\u1ee3p, trong \u0111\u00f3 Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean c\u00f9ng l\u00fac t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng \u0110\u00e0i Loan v\u00e0 H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ba qu\u1ed1c gia s\u1edf h\u1eefu v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n c\u00f9ng tham gia xung \u0111\u1ed9t (c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 suy \u0111o\u00e1n Putin s\u1ebd h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o) l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec1u nghe th\u1eadt k\u1ef3 l\u1ea1, ho\u1eb7c nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ng\u01b0\u1eddi lo s\u1ee3, l\u00e0 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u r\u1eb1ng ch\u00fang ta \u0111\u00e3 ti\u1ebfn t\u1edbi ng\u00e0y t\u1eadn th\u1ebf. D\u00f9 nh\u1eefng k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 nh\u1ea5t kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai g\u1ea7n, nh\u01b0ng s\u1ef1 t\u00e1i \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m d\u1ea5y l\u00ean kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng B\u00ecnh Nh\u01b0\u1ee1ng s\u1ebd c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd trong 6 \u0111\u1ebfn 18 th\u00e1ng t\u1edbi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u1ea3 M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ec1u kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n c\u1ea3m gi\u00e1c c\u1ea5p b\u00e1ch c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft trong v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 B\u00e1n \u0111\u1ea3o Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean. C\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c Trung Qu\u1ed1c n\u00f3i v\u1edbi t\u00f4i r\u1eb1ng B\u1eafc Kinh xem h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a B\u00ecnh Nh\u01b0\u1ee1ng l\u00e0 h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 do l\u1ec7nh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u2013 ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c. X\u00e9t \u0111\u1ebfn nh\u1eefng cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra \u1edf Ukraine v\u00e0 Trung \u0110\u00f4ng, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 \u01b0u ti\u00ean d\u00e0nh cho cu\u1ed9c c\u1ea1nh tranh c\u00f3 t\u1ed5ng b\u1eb1ng kh\u00f4ng v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c trong ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh ngh\u1ecb s\u1ef1, v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean c\u00f3 l\u1ebd s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c b\u1ecb x\u1ebfp sau. Nh\u01b0ng Kim Jong Un c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 thay \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

BDN<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n

Aufrufe: 265<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

B\u00ecnh Nh\u01b0\u1ee1ng \u0111ang ch\u01a1i b\u00e0i khi\u1ebfn Nga v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c m\u00e2u thu\u1eabn nhau \u2013 v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e3 t\u1eeb b\u1ecf m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng h\u00f3a quan h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi M\u1ef9. Th\u00e1ng Gi\u00eang n\u0103m nay, hai nh\u00e0 quan s\u00e1t Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean gi\u00e0u kinh nghi\u1ec7m Robert Carlin v\u00e0 Siegfried Hecker \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi ng\u1ea1c nhi\u00ean khi vi\u1ebft r\u1eb1ng nh\u00e0 …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[97,1,37],"tags":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16256"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16256"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16256\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16266,"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16256\/revisions\/16266"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16256"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16256"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16256"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}