{"id":3155,"date":"2018-08-22T18:42:55","date_gmt":"2018-08-22T16:42:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/east-sea.de\/?p=3155"},"modified":"2018-09-06T23:07:37","modified_gmt":"2018-09-06T21:07:37","slug":"tieng-viet-vien-canh-bien-dong-dia-chinh-tri-the-gioi-thoi-gian-toi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/2018\/08\/22\/tieng-viet-vien-canh-bien-dong-dia-chinh-tri-the-gioi-thoi-gian-toi\/","title":{"rendered":"Vi\u1ec5n c\u1ea3nh bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi"},"content":{"rendered":"Xung \u0111\u1ed9t l\u1edbn s\u1ebd di\u1ec5n ra tr\u00ean 3 \u0111\u1ea5u tr\u01b0\u1eddng l\u1edbn: Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 v\u00e0 Trung \u0110\u00f4ng. Nh\u1eefng d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n n\u00e0y c\u00f3 v\u1ebb c\u1ef1c \u0111oan, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed l\u00e0 k\u1ef3 c\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng b\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ecdc t\u1eeb h\u00e0ng th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 nay quen v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i c\u1ee7a th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i nh\u1edb nhi\u1ec1u \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ed1t y\u1ebfu \u0111\u00e3 di\u1ec5n ra trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

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Sau h\u00e0ng th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh, m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh quy m\u00f4 l\u1edbn d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng kh\u00f3 x\u1ea3y ra. Tuy nhi\u00ean, l\u1ecbch s\u1eed l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t chu\u1ed7i n\u1ed1i ti\u1ebfp nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ea3o l\u1ed9n \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, xen k\u1ebd b\u1edfi nh\u1eefng giai \u0111o\u1ea1n l\u1eafng d\u1ecbu. M\u1ed9t hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng nh\u01b0 s\u1ef1 tan r\u00e3, trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh, c\u1ee7a Li\u00ean X\u00f4, theo m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0110\u1ee9c n\u0103m 1918 v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i Chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi th\u1ee9 nh\u1ea5t, cho th\u1ea5y m\u1ecdi \u0111i\u1ec1u v\u1eabn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra. S\u1ef1 l\u00ean ng\u00f4i c\u1ee7a k\u1ef7 nguy\u00ean h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n kh\u00f4ng ng\u0103n c\u1ea3n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ea3o l\u1ed9n \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb nh\u01b0 v\u1eady; v\u00e0 c\u00f9ng l\u1eafm c\u0169ng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0m thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ea3o l\u1ed9n n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

Ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c l\u00e0 ch\u00fang ta \u0111ang trong bu\u1ed5i \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn trong tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf, m\u00e0 ch\u00fang s\u1ebd l\u00e0 k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng ti\u1ebfn h\u00f3a ch\u1eadm. Kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u00e1o tr\u01b0\u1edbc t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t, nh\u1eefng m\u01b0u \u0111\u1ed3 ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu v\u00e0 k\u1ebft c\u1ee5c c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u, d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u c\u1ef1c k\u1ef3 hu\u00eanh hoang. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 v\u1eady, vi\u1ec7c ph\u00e2n t\u00edch nh\u1eefng qu\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ea1o l\u1ecbch s\u1eed l\u00e2u d\u00e0i cho ph\u00e9p nh\u1eadn ra th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi theo m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch kh\u00e1c v\u00e0 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 nh\u1eefng ti\u1ebfn h\u00f3a kh\u00f4ng ng\u1eebng m\u00e0 c\u1ea3 nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ed5 v\u1ee1. Xung \u0111\u1ed9t l\u1edbn s\u1ebd di\u1ec5n ra tr\u00ean 3 \u0111\u1ea5u tr\u01b0\u1eddng l\u1edbn: Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 v\u00e0 Trung \u0110\u00f4ng.<\/p>\n

Nh\u1eefng d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n n\u00e0y c\u00f3 v\u1ebb c\u1ef1c \u0111oan, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed l\u00e0 k\u1ef3 c\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng b\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ecdc t\u1eeb h\u00e0ng th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 nay quen v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i c\u1ee7a th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. Ch\u00ednh v\u00ec v\u1eady, c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i nh\u1edb nhi\u1ec1u \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ed1t y\u1ebfu.<\/p>\n

Tr\u01b0\u1edbc ti\u00ean, c\u1ea7n nh\u1edb r\u1eb1ng kh\u00f4ng bao gi\u1edd c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh c\u00f3 quy m\u00f4 r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u nh\u01b0 th\u1ec3 ch\u00fang \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0 nh\u01b0 v\u1eady. L\u00fac \u0111\u1ea7u, nh\u1eefng n\u01b0\u1edbc ph\u00e1t \u0111\u1ed9ng chi\u1ebfn tranh \u0111\u00e1nh c\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0o cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t ng\u1eafn v\u00e0 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf, c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng nhanh ch\u00f3ng mang l\u1ea1i cho h\u1ecd nh\u1eefng th\u1eafng l\u1ee3i. V\u00ec v\u1eady, chi\u1ebfn tranh kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 khi m\u00e0 c\u00e1c si\u00eau c\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u xem x\u00e9t nghi\u00eam t\u00fac kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3 b\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c can thi\u1ec7p qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1, d\u00f9 nh\u1ecf b\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u00f3, kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c qu\u00ean r\u1eb1ng t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o kh\u00f4ng l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn theo c\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch. S\u1ef1 l\u01b0u \u00fd n\u00e0y d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 l\u00e0 t\u1ea7m th\u01b0\u1eddng, tuy nhi\u00ean, n\u00f3 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf s\u00e2u s\u1eafc v\u00e0 mang nhi\u1ec1u h\u1ec7 l\u1ee5y khi ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta tham gia v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t b\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111i sau n\u00e0y: t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 c\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t b\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111i v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 c\u00f9ng suy ngh\u0129, theo c\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y v\u00e0 sau n\u0103m 1945, v\u1ec1 l\u1ee3i \u00edch qu\u1ed1c gia v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng quan h\u1ec7 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf. Do v\u1eady, kh\u00f4ng n\u00ean lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 gi\u1ea3 thuy\u1ebft v\u1edbi l\u00fd do r\u1eb1ng ch\u00fang d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 phi l\u00fd khi x\u00e9t v\u1ec1 l\u1ee3i \u00edch kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eaft, nh\u01b0 th\u01b0\u1eddng x\u1ea3y ra: h\u00e3y ngh\u0129 t\u1edbi l\u1eddi b\u00ecnh lu\u1eadn m\u00e0 ch\u00fang ta \u0111\u00e3 nghe t\u1edbi ngh\u00ecn l\u1ea7n r\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh gi\u1eefa Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 l\u1ebd l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 do h\u1ecd ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c l\u1eabn nhau v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf. L\u1eadp lu\u1eadn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f3 l\u00fd \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t ng\u01b0\u1eddi ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 XXI, tuy nhi\u00ean, n\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi ch\u00e2u \u00c2u c\u1ee7a n\u0103m 1914 khi m\u00e0 s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c l\u1eabn nhau v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf kh\u00f4ng h\u1ec1 k\u00e9m h\u01a1n, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi nhi\u1ec1u c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i hi\u1ec7n nay, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 t\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u \u00c1.<\/p>\n

Sau c\u00f9ng, c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i g\u1ea1t b\u1ecf \u1ea3o t\u01b0\u1edfng theo \u0111\u00f3 chi\u1ebfn tranh \u00edt kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng x\u1ea3y ra m\u1ed9t khi h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e3 t\u1eeb l\u00e2u. L\u1ecbch s\u1eed c\u00f3 chung \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0y v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng s\u1ef1 d\u1ecbch chuy\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng m\u1ea3ng ki\u1ebfn t\u1ea1o \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn kh\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng x\u1ea3y ra v\u00e0 c\u00e1ch qu\u00e3ng b\u1edfi nh\u1eefng th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 thai ngh\u00e9n d\u00e0i: nh\u1eefng c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng t\u00edch t\u1ee5, nh\u1eefng r\u00e0ng bu\u1ed9c l\u00e0m chao \u0111\u1ea3o nh\u1eefng n\u1ec1n m\u00f3ng c\u1ee7a tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 l\u1ecfng l\u1ebbo c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang g\u00e2y ra m\u1ed9t c\u01a1n \u0111\u1ecba ch\u1ea5n l\u00e0m bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed5i b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

Nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 1991, kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 xung \u0111\u1ed9t v\u0169 trang m\u00e0 c\u00f2n kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 nguy c\u01a1 xung \u0111\u1ed9t v\u0169 trang gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c si\u00eau c\u01b0\u1eddng, tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh thay \u0111\u1ed5i s\u00e2u s\u1eafc. L\u00ean n\u1eafm quy\u1ec1n t\u1eeb 2 th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 nay, Vladimir Putin \u0111\u00e3 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng tr\u00ean \u0111\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed5 n\u00e1t c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ebf ch\u1ebf X\u00f4vi\u1ebft, quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n c\u00f3 s\u1ee9c \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t m\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y bi\u1ebft t\u1edbi k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi Stalin qua \u0111\u1eddi. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, \u00f4ng \u0111\u00e3 v\u1ef1c d\u1eady s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a Nga \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i l\u00e0 l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. C\u00f2n Trung Qu\u1ed1c, t\u1eeb ch\u1ed7 v\u1edbi GDP trong n\u0103m 1991 ch\u1ec9 b\u1eb1ng 7% GDP c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y chi\u1ebfm g\u1ea7n 65%, v\u00e0 ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng g\u1ea5p m\u01b0\u1eddi l\u1ea7n: B\u1eafc Kinh \u0111\u00e3 v\u01b0\u01a1n l\u00ean \u0111\u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ea7u m\u1ed9t ch\u00e2u \u00c1 \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd, nh\u1edd d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 \u0111\u00f4ng, v\u01b0\u1ee3t xa \u201c4 con r\u1ed3ng\u201d m\u00e0 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi v\u1eabn c\u00f2n ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng m\u1ed9 v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 c\u1ea5t c\u00e1nh c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1990. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m hao m\u00f2n uy t\u00edn ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u00e0 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd trong nh\u1eefng cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh v\u00f4 v\u1ecdng v\u00e0 phi ngh\u0129a t\u1ea1i Trung \u0110\u00f4ng, c\u00f2n l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng H\u1ed3i gi\u00e1o ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u1ef1c \u0111oan – v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng ch\u00e2n r\u1ebft kh\u1ee7ng b\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 – \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ng\u0103n c\u1ea3n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c. M\u1ef9 c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00e1nh m\u1ea5t m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn \u01b0u th\u1ebf v\u1ec1 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh so v\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1eddi Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 Nga. Tr\u00ean quy m\u00f4 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, s\u1ef1 chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt s\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111\u00e3 cho ra \u0111\u1eddi nh\u1eefng v\u0169 kh\u00ed m\u1edbi v\u00e0 t\u1ea1o n\u00ean nh\u1eefng m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda m\u1edbi m\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a l\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea7m \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a n\u00f3.<\/p>\n

V\u00ec v\u1eady, th\u1eadt v\u00f4 l\u00fd khi tin r\u1eb1ng si\u00eau c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac c\u1ee7a tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 v\u1eabn \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh khi nh\u1eefng t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed5i nh\u01b0 v\u1eady. Hi\u1ec7n nay, nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i ho\u1eb7c t\u00e1i kh\u00f4i ph\u1ee5c \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, t\u1ef1 cho ph\u00e9p m\u00ecnh \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi – v\u1edbi ng\u00f4n t\u1eeb \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00e0m d\u1ecbu \u0111i l\u00e0 \u201c\u0111a c\u1ef1c\u201d – quy\u1ec1n ph\u00f4 tr\u01b0\u01a1ng s\u1ef1 b\u00e1 quy\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh tr\u00ean nh\u1eefng kh\u00f4ng gian r\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn v\u00e0 d\u00f9ng b\u1ea1o l\u1ef1c d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 s\u1eeda \u0111\u1ed5i m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi theo h\u01b0\u1edbng c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i cho h\u1ecd.<\/p>\n

T\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, c\u00e1nh tay s\u1eaft gi\u1eefa NATO v\u00e0 Nga <\/strong><\/p>\n

Cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t Gruzia n\u0103m 2008, vi\u1ec7c s\u00e1p nh\u1eadp Crimea n\u0103m 2014 v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a Moskva d\u00e0nh cho l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ly khai Donbass, t\u1eeb nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m nay ch\u1ee9ng th\u1ef1c cho ch\u1ee7 tr\u01b0\u01a1ng y\u00eau s\u00e1ch l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a Nga trong kh\u00f4ng gian \u0111\u1ebf qu\u1ed1c tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. Nh\u1eefng d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u kh\u00e1c khi\u1ebfn ta tin r\u1eb1ng Moskva kh\u00f4ng lo\u1ea1i tr\u1eeb vi\u1ec7c ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i NATO nh\u1eb1m l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu li\u00ean minh n\u00e0y v\u00e0 t\u0103ng th\u00eam kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Nga t\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u.<\/p>\n

Do \u0111\u00f3, n\u0103m 2015, Vladimir Putin \u0111\u00e3 t\u00e1i l\u1eadp binh ch\u1ee7ng thi\u1ebft gi\u00e1p y\u1ec3m h\u1ed9 \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean, l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00f3 thi\u00ean h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng b\u1ecb gi\u1ea3i t\u00e1n v\u00e0o n\u0103m 1998, m\u00e0 phi\u00ean b\u1ea3n m\u1edbi ph\u1ea3i c\u00f3 t\u1eeb 500 t\u1edbi 600 chi\u1ebfn xa, 600 t\u1edbi 800 thi\u1ebft v\u1eadn xa, 300 t\u1edbi 400 \u0111\u1ea1i ph\u00e1o v\u00e0 35.000 t\u1edbi 50.000 qu\u00e2n. Th\u00e1ng 11\/2016, ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta \u0111\u00e3 bi\u1ebft r\u1eb1ng Nga \u0111\u00e3 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ea1i h\u00f3a c\u00e1c xe t\u0103ng T-80 g\u1ed3m kho\u1ea3ng 3.000 chi\u1ebfc. T\u1ef1 tr\u1ea5n an m\u00ecnh, c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch r\u1eb1ng quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh n\u00e0y c\u00f3 l\u1ebd l\u00e0 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u cho th\u1ea5y nh\u1eefng kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n c\u1ee7a Kremlin bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c xe thi\u1ebft gi\u00e1p c\u0169 h\u01a1n l\u00e0 \u0111\u1eb7t c\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0o c\u00e1c Armata \u0111\u1eaft \u0111\u1ecf, lo\u1ea1i xe t\u0103ng m\u1edbi thu\u1ed9c th\u1ebf h\u1ec7 th\u1ee9 3 m\u00e0 c\u01a1 quan tuy\u00ean truy\u1ec1n Nga lu\u00f4n t\u00e1n t\u1ee5ng v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t h\u00e0ng lo\u1ea1t \u0111\u00e3 kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0o n\u0103m nay. Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i bi\u1ebft r\u1eb1ng v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c t\u00e1i s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng n\u00e0y, Nga s\u1ebd s\u1edf h\u1eefu m\u1ed9t l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng thi\u1ebft gi\u00e1p t\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u1edbn h\u00f9ng m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc NATO t\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, v\u00e0 c\u1ea7n nh\u1edb r\u1eb1ng chi\u1ebfn xa l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1i v\u0169 kh\u00ed t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu.<\/p>\n

C\u0169ng trong th\u00e1ng 11\/2016, Nga \u0111\u00e3 di chuy\u1ec3n c\u00e1c b\u1ec7 ph\u00f3ng t\u00ean l\u1eeda Iskander (c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n nh\u01b0ng c\u0169ng r\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 x\u00e9t v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t v\u0169 kh\u00ed th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng) t\u1edbi Kaliningrad (v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ea5t thu\u1ed9c Nga nh\u01b0ng n\u1eb1m gi\u1eefa Ba Lan v\u00e0 Litva), d\u01b0\u1edbi v\u1ecf b\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn. T\u1eeb nay, Nga c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 v\u1edbi t\u1edbi \u0110\u00f4ng B\u1eafc Ba Lan v\u00e0 h\u00e0nh lang Suwalki, d\u1ea3i d\u1ea5t n\u1eb1m gi\u1eefa Belarus v\u00e0 Kaliningrad, \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng giao th\u00f4ng tr\u00ean b\u1ed9 duy nh\u1ea5t gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Baltic v\u00e0 ph\u1ea7n c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a NATO.<\/p>\n

Nh\u1eefng ng\u1edd v\u1ef1c l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t nh\u1eb1m v\u00e0o cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn Zapad 2017 (H\u01b0\u1edbng T\u00e2y 2017), phi\u00ean b\u1ea3n m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1i h\u00ecnh t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i t\u1eeb th\u1eddi Li\u00ean X\u00f4 v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c Vladimir Putin \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng l\u1ea1i v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 2000. C\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u00e3 di\u1ec5n ra t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 14-20\/9\/2017 t\u1ea1i Belarus, Kaliningrad v\u00e0 tr\u00ean l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 Nga gi\u00e1p ranh v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Baltic. Moskva \u0111\u00e3 kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn n\u00e0y huy \u0111\u1ed9ng ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ebfn 5.500 l\u00ednh Nga v\u00e0 t\u1ed5ng c\u1ed9ng 12.700 ng\u01b0\u1eddi – theo m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ngu\u1ed3n tin, nh\u1eefng con s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng trung th\u1ef1c nh\u1eb1m tr\u00e1nh ngh\u0129a v\u1ee5 ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u00f3n ti\u1ebfp c\u00e1c quan s\u00e1t vi\u00ean qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

Nh\u1eefng th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c cho n\u0103m 2017 do B\u1ed9 qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng Nga c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2016, \u0111\u00e3 th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u01b0a t\u1edbi Belarus 4.162 toa h\u00e0ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1, l\u1edbn h\u01a1n 80 l\u1ea7n so v\u1edbi s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u0103m 2016 (50), v\u00e0 l\u1ea7n l\u01b0\u1ee3t h\u01a1n 30 l\u1ea7n (125) v\u00e0 h\u01a1n 20 l\u1ea7n (200) so v\u1edbi 2 cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn Zapad tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2015 v\u00e0 2013. V\u00e0o n\u0103m 2013, kho\u1ea3ng 12.000 binh s\u0129 \u0111\u00e3 tham gia cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn. Ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta kh\u00f4ng hi\u1ec3u t\u1ea1i sao n\u0103m 2017, Nga ph\u1ea3i v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n qua \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1eaft l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a l\u1edbn h\u01a1n 20 l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o cho qu\u00e2n s\u1ed1 ch\u1ec9 b\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda c\u1ee7a n\u0103m 2013. D\u00f9 r\u1eb1ng, n\u1ebfu ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta ghi nh\u1eadn nh\u1eefng l\u1eddi gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch kh\u00f3 ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn c\u1ee7a B\u1ed9 qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng, theo \u0111\u00f3 4.000 toa h\u00e0ng l\u00e0 \u201ckh\u1ee9 h\u1ed3i\u201d ch\u0103ng n\u1eefa, th\u00ec kh\u1ed1i h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a \u0111\u00f3 c\u0169ng g\u1ea5p 10 l\u1ea7n so v\u1edbi n\u0103m 2013! Ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch cho r\u1eb1ng tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 tham gia c\u1ee7a h\u01a1n 5.500 l\u00ednh Nga (ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn l\u00e0 100.000 l\u00ednh) v\u00e0 r\u1eb1ng n\u00f3 c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng cho ph\u00e9p che gi\u1ea5u vi\u1ec7c di chuy\u1ec3n s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u1edbn c\u00e1c kh\u00ed c\u1ee5 t\u1edbi l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 Belarus. Nh\u1eefng kh\u00ed c\u1ee5 n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ec3 l\u1ea1i th\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ecba, \u0111\u1ec3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng sau n\u00e0y \u0111i t\u1eeb ch\u1ed7 \u0111e d\u1ecda \u0111i\u1ec1u qu\u00e2n s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u \u0111\u1ebfn bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi NATO-Belarus. T\u01b0\u1edbng Czech Petr Pavel, Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch \u1ee6y ban qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 NATO, \u0111\u00e3 n\u00f3i th\u1eb3ng v\u1edbi h\u00e3ng th\u00f4ng t\u1ea5n AP v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 16\/9\/2017: \u201cNh\u1eefng g\u00ec m\u00e0 ch\u00fang ta ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 cho m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh l\u1edbn\u201d. Nh\u1edd s\u1ef1 tri\u1ec3n khai n\u00e0y, Kremlin t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh t\u1ea1i Belarus, khi m\u00e0 t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y m\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 h\u00e9 l\u1ed9 \u00fd \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00f2i quy\u1ec1n t\u1ef1 ch\u1ee7.<\/p>\n

Ng\u00e0y 20\/9\/2017, trong th\u1eddi gian di\u1ec5n ra cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn Zapad, t\u1edd Pravda (Nga) \u0111\u00e3 th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng B\u1ed9 qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng \u0111ang chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb m\u1ed9t d\u1ef1 lu\u1eadt nh\u1eb1m t\u1ea1o thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i cho vi\u1ec7c t\u1ed5ng \u0111\u1ed9ng vi\u00ean trong th\u1eddi chi\u1ebfn. Vi\u1ec7c xung \u0111\u1ed9t v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Baltic, th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean c\u1ee7a NATO c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y ra m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh c\u00f4ng khai gi\u1eefa Nga v\u00e0 to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean c\u1ee7a li\u00ean minh, chi\u1ec3u theo \u0111i\u1ec1u 5 c\u1ee7a Hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc Washington, v\u1edbi nguy c\u01a1 ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn n\u1ed5 ra m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n \u2013 \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 l\u00fd do khi\u1ebfn h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 b\u00ecnh lu\u1eadn cho r\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 can thi\u1ec7p nh\u01b0 v\u1eady r\u1ea5t kh\u00f3 x\u1ea3y ra. H\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 qu\u00ean \u0111i c\u1ea3 s\u1ef1 ti\u1ebfn tri\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a h\u1ecdc thuy\u1ebft s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n d\u01b0\u1edbi tri\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ea1i Vladimir Putin l\u1eabn l\u1ecbch s\u1eed t\u01b0 duy chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c Nga t\u1eeb nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1970. S\u1ef1 m\u1eadp m\u1edd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c duy tr\u00ec m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch kh\u00f4n ngoan v\u1ec1 nh\u1eefng \u00fd \u0111\u1ed3 c\u1ee7a Nga, \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn cho m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch n\u00f3i \u0111\u1ebfn \u201cs\u1ef1 h\u0103m d\u1ecda h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n\u201d. \u0110\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p s\u00e1p nh\u1eadp Crimea, ngay sau \u0111\u00f3, Putin \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch trong m\u1ed9t ph\u00f3ng s\u1ef1 tuy\u00ean truy\u1ec1n, l\u00e0 s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng \u0111\u1eb7t l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n trong t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ed9ng. Nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, Nga d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 \u0111ang s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng r\u0103n \u0111e h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n theo m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch m\u1edbi, kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ec3 ng\u0103n \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng m\u00e0 l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ea3o tr\u1ee3 c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng v\u1edbi t\u00ednh to\u00e1n r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i l\u00f9i b\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n

Trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1970, t\u01b0 duy chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e3 v\u1ea5p ph\u1ea3i m\u1ed9t b\u1ee9c t\u01b0\u1eddng: chi\u1ebfn tranh h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o h\u1ee7y di\u1ec7t l\u1eabn nhau. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 t\u01b0 t\u01b0\u1edfng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 X\u00f4vi\u1ebft \u0111\u00e3 t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch v\u00f2ng tr\u00e1nh tr\u1edf ng\u1ea1i v\u00e0 \u0111i t\u1edbi k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh th\u1eafng l\u1ee3i m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n, v\u1edbi \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n ch\u1ec9 nh\u1eb1m v\u00e0o c\u00e1c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f3 gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n, v\u1edbi c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng theo quy \u01b0\u1edbc, sao cho \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u01b0\u01a1ng mu\u1ed1n ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i k\u00e9o theo nh\u1eefng nh\u01b0\u1ee3ng b\u1ed9 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u1ea3i ch\u0103ng h\u01a1n l\u00e0 theo \u0111u\u1ed5i chi\u1ebfn tranh v\u00e0 leo thang nguy\u00ean t\u1eed. \u1ede th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 \u0111\u00f3, v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 l\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 c\u1ea7n m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u1eb1m v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t m\u00ecnh T\u00e2y \u0110\u1ee9c c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y ra s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a NATO.<\/p>\n

Hi\u1ec7n nay, c\u0169ng k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n n\u00e0y \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u t\u1ea1i Kremlin v\u00e0 T\u00e2y \u0110\u1ee9c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c thay th\u1ebf b\u1eb1ng Estonia, Latvia, Litva: ng\u01b0\u1eddi Nga bi\u1ebft r\u1eb1ng h\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 chinh ph\u1ee5c nhanh ch\u00f3ng c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Baltic tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi NATO c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng. Cu\u1ed9c chinh ph\u1ee5c n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng k\u00e9o theo vi\u1ec7c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n n\u00e0o. M\u1eb7t kh\u00e1c, tr\u00e1i v\u1edbi t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh t\u1ea1i T\u00e2y \u0110\u1ee9c trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1970 v\u00e0 1980, t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng khu v\u1ef1c r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1eddi Nga: c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y cho r\u1eb1ng h\u1ecd ch\u1ec9 c\u1ea7n t\u1eeb 3 t\u1edbi 5 ng\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t 3 qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y. Nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, s\u1ef1 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean l\u00e0 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn, so v\u1edbi c\u00e1ch \u0111\u00e2y 40 n\u0103m, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y h\u01a1i b\u1ea5p b\u00eanh. Kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u00e1p tr\u1ea3 duy nh\u1ea5t s\u1ebd l\u00e0 \u0111\u1eb7t l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng M\u1ef9 trong t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 \u0111e d\u1ecda t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n v\u00e0o Nga. Tuy nhi\u00ean, v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00f3 th\u1eadt kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n, nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 v\u00ec l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 M\u1ef9 kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb \u0111e d\u1ecda, c\u00f2n Nga th\u00ec mu\u1ed1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c khoan dung v\u1edbi l\u00fd do l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng tham v\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd – c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u201cbi\u1ec7n minh\u201d tr\u01b0\u1edbc b\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch tung tin gi\u1ea3 – ch\u1ec9 li\u00ean quan t\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Baltic, v\u00e0 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean ch\u00e2u \u00c2u c\u1ee7a NATO do d\u1ef1 kh\u00f4ng bi\u1ebft c\u1ea7n \u1ee9ng x\u1eed nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o. T\u00f3m l\u1ea1i, v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 l\u00e0 c\u1ea7n bi\u1ebft li\u1ec7u trong m\u1eaft ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0 M\u1ef9, c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Baltic c\u00f3 \u0111\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ec3 h\u1ecd m\u1ea1o hi\u1ec3m v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n – Vladimir Putin c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ngh\u0129 m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ch\u00ednh \u0111\u00e1ng r\u1eb1ng c\u00e2u tr\u1ea3 l\u1eddi s\u1ebd l\u00e0 \u201ckh\u00f4ng\u201d, ho\u1eb7c \u00edt ra th\u00e1i \u0111\u1ed9 do d\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ed3ng minh s\u1ebd cho ph\u00e9p Nga \u0111\u1eb7t h\u1ecd tr\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00e3 r\u1ed3i. Sau v\u00e0i ng\u00e0y, s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n l\u00e0 chuy\u1ec7n b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Baltic n\u1eefa m\u00e0 l\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c c\u1ea7n gi\u00e0nh l\u1ea1i nh\u1eefng n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y v\u00e0 khi \u0111\u00f3, h\u1ecd th\u00edch t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 d\u00e0n x\u1ebfp h\u01a1n. V\u00ec h\u1ecd bi\u1ebft r\u1eb1ng ch\u1ec9 c\u1ea7n m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng theo quy \u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 Li\u00ean bang Nga m\u00e0 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Baltic s\u1ebd thu\u1ed9c v\u1ec1 sau khi b\u1ecb s\u00e1p nh\u1eadp, h\u1ecdc thuy\u1ebft c\u1ee7a Nga kh\u00f4ng lo\u1ea1i tr\u1eeb b\u1ea5t c\u1ee9 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00e1p tr\u1ea3 n\u00e0o, k\u1ec3 c\u1ea3 b\u1eb1ng v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n.<\/p>\n

Nga c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ecbu nh\u1eefng bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t n\u1eb7ng n\u1ec1 v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf, tuy nhi\u00ean, sau 3 n\u0103m s\u00e1p nh\u1eadp Crimea, Putin tin t\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e0o s\u1ef1 ch\u1ed1ng ch\u1ecdi b\u1ec1n b\u1ec9 c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc m\u00ecnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc h\u00ecnh th\u1ee9c tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t n\u00e0y v\u00e0 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u00e1i gi\u00e1 h\u1ee3p l\u00fd ph\u1ea3i tr\u1ea3 so v\u1edbi m\u1ed1i l\u1ee3i chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c thu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c. Th\u1ef1c v\u1eady, b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch b\u1ed9c l\u1ed9 s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a NATO trong vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi \u0111i\u1ec1u m\u00e0 v\u00ec th\u1ebf n\u00f3 t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i, vi\u1ec7c chi\u1ebfm gi\u1eef c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Baltic, s\u1ebd l\u00e0m m\u1ea5t ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n uy t\u00edn c\u1ee7a t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c n\u00e0y v\u00e0 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u00f2n tr\u1eddi gi\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Li\u00ean minh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u (EU). N\u01b0\u1edbc Nga \u0111\u00e3 lu\u00f4n m\u01a1 \u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn c\u00e1c c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf n\u00e0y tan r\u00e3 \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ed1ng tr\u1ecb ch\u00e2u \u00c2u th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n song ph\u01b0\u01a1ng, nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1edbi nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc: nh\u1eefng l\u1eddi \u0111e d\u1ecda qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1, nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 t\u1eebng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c lan truy\u1ec1n tr\u00ean c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ti\u1ec7n th\u00f4ng tin \u0111\u1ea1i ch\u00fang ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c c\u1ee7a Nga n\u0103m 2014, v\u1ec1 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng c\u00e1c xe t\u0103ng c\u1ee7a Nga m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa ti\u1ebfn v\u00e0o Berlin, t\u1ea5t nhi\u00ean s\u1ebd c\u00f3 s\u1ee9c n\u1eb7ng h\u01a1n v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1ng tin h\u01a1n tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1ed9t NATO suy y\u1ebfu v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t EU t\u1ee7i nh\u1ee5c.<\/p>\n

\u0110i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 l\u1ebd l\u00e0 t\u00ednh to\u00e1n chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Nga, v\u1ed1n r\u1ea5t mu\u1ed1n l\u00e0m \u0111\u1ea3o l\u1ed9n t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0 tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb t\u1ea1i L\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecba gi\u00e0 – m\u1ed9t toan t\u00ednh l\u00f4g\u00edch, kh\u1ea3 thi v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 g\u00ec l\u00e0 phi l\u00fd, khi n\u00f3 lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf nguy c\u01a1 chi\u1ebfn tranh h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n, c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00e3 r\u0103n \u0111e m\u1ecdi cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh t\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u t\u1eeb n\u0103m 1945. Tuy nhi\u00ean, t\u00ednh to\u00e0n n\u00e0y d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean m\u1ed9t gi\u1ea3 thuy\u1ebft may r\u1ee7i: tin ch\u1eafc r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y s\u1ebd ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ec3 m\u1ea5t c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Baltic h\u01a1n l\u00e0 m\u1ea1o hi\u1ec3m trong m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch gi\u00e0nh l\u1ea1i nh\u1eefng n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y. Ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u00fang v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, tuy nhi\u00ean \u00edt kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t \u0111\u00f2n tr\u00ed m\u1ea1ng \u0111\u00e1nh v\u00e0o quy\u1ec1n l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd th\u00f4ng qua s\u1ef1 suy y\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a NATO. H\u1eb3n l\u00e0 Donald Trump v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 nh\u00e2n v\u1eadt trong \u0110\u1ea3ng C\u1ed9ng h\u00f2a \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng ph\u00e1t ng\u00f4n m\u01a1 h\u1ed3 v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Baltic, n\u00f3i b\u00f3ng gi\u00f3 r\u1eb1ng trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p x\u1ea3y ra chi\u1ebfn tranh, kh\u00f4ng nh\u1ea5t thi\u1ebft c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 \u1ee7ng c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 v\u1eady, chuy\u1ebfn th\u0103m c\u1ee7a Mike Pence t\u1ea1i Tallinn th\u00e1ng 7\/2017, c\u00f3 \u00fd \u0111\u1ed3 tr\u1ea5n an nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ed3ng minh c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u1edf s\u00e1t Nga. Sau Chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi th\u1ee9 hai, M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o an ninh c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd h\u00e0m \u00fd r\u1eb1ng h\u1ecd tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh \u201cqu\u1ed1c gia l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o\u201d. T\u1eeb b\u1ecf c\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u1ecb n\u00e0y, \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi h\u1ecd, s\u1ebd l\u00e0 quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u1edbi v\u1ecb th\u1ebf ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi m\u00e0 h\u1ecd s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 t\u1ef1 m\u00ecnh quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh – m\u1ed9t vi\u1ec5n c\u1ea3nh kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c. Tuy nhi\u00ean, Vladimir Putin c\u0169ng gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o Trung Qu\u1ed1c, \u0111ang trong m\u1ed9t m\u1ed9t l\u00f4gic ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n kh\u00e1c. \u00d4ng ta tin v\u00e0o tr\u00f2 ch\u01a1i quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c, v\u00e0o t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 v\u00e0o s\u1ef1 th\u1ecfa hi\u1ec7p bi\u1ebfn h\u00f3a d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean nh\u1eefng c\u01a1 s\u1edf n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

V\u00ec v\u1eady, nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c c\u1ee7a Putin v\u1ec1 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi s\u1ebd th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y \u00f4ng \u0111\u1eb7t c\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 th\u00e1o lui c\u1ee7a NATO – \u0111i\u1ec1u m\u00e0 Washington kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn. H\u1ec7 qu\u1ea3 s\u1ebd l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u00e0i l\u00e2u gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Nga tr\u00ean \u0111\u1ea5t ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. S\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 t\u1ea1i Ba Lan, v\u00e0 c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t s\u1ebd gia t\u0103ng, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n theo h\u00ecnh th\u1ee9c m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh m\u1ea1ng to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n. Tr\u1eeb phi M\u1ef9 cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng kh\u00f4ng quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00e1p tr\u1ea3 s\u1ef1 \u0111e d\u1ecda h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a Nga b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh h\u1ecdc thuy\u1ebft qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c t\u00e1i chi\u1ebfm theo quy \u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Baltic, v\u00ec nguy c\u01a1 chi\u1ebfn tranh nguy\u00ean t\u1eed m\u00e0 m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c phi\u00eau l\u01b0u nh\u01b0 v\u1eady c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0a t\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

X\u00e9t v\u1ec1 c\u00e1n c\u00e2n d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 v\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, c\u1ee7a Nga v\u00e0 m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng minh, r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng s\u1ebd thu\u1ed9c v\u1ec1 M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 thua thi\u1ec7t s\u1ebd thu\u1ed9c v\u1ec1 Nga. Xung \u0111\u1ed9t s\u1ebd d\u1eabn t\u1edbi m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 Vladimir Putin v\u00e0 sau c\u00f9ng l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 chia c\u1eaft l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a Nga. S\u1ef1 chia c\u1eaft n\u00e0y ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn s\u1ebd c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i cho Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3, b\u1edfi v\u00ec m\u1ed9t n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga b\u1ecb thu nh\u1ecf l\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 ph\u1ea7n l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh, s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3i ph\u00f3ng v\u0129nh vi\u1ec5n c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u1ed9ng h\u00f2a X\u00f4vi\u1ebft c\u0169 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng ti\u1ebfng Th\u1ed5 – Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan – kh\u1ecfi \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Nga, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd \u0111\u00e1nh th\u1ee9c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1eadp h\u1ee3p c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi Th\u1ed5. Nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng si\u00eau c\u01b0\u1eddng sau chi\u1ebfn tranh, nh\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc Ph\u1ed5 \u0111\u00e3 h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i t\u1eeb s\u1ef1 suy y\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a Ph\u00e1p khi Napoleon th\u1ea5t th\u1ebf v\u00e0 Nga sau s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ee9c n\u0103m 1945.<\/p>\n

Nh\u1eefng tham v\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c <\/strong><\/p>\n

M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 s\u1ef1 ch\u00fa \u00fd c\u1ee7a qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf v\u00e0 truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng hi\u1ec7n nay ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu h\u01b0\u1edbng v\u00e0o Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean, nh\u01b0ng B\u00ecnh Nh\u01b0\u1ee1ng d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 tr\u1ecdng t\u00e2m c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c1.<\/p>\n

V\u00e0o m\u00f9a H\u00e8 2017, qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ea1m ch\u00e1n trong su\u1ed1t 2 th\u00e1ng tr\u00ean cao nguy\u00ean Doklam, g\u1ea7n ng\u00e3 ba bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi gi\u1eefa \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c gia nh\u1ecf b\u00e9 Bhutan. Y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 ch\u00e2m ng\u00f2i cho cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ed9 n\u00e0y l\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u1ea3i t\u1ea1o m\u1ed9t con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng, \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ebfn \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9. M\u1ed9t con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m khi\u1ebfn ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta ngh\u0129 r\u1eb1ng n\u00f3 cho ph\u00e9p nh\u1eefng xe t\u0103ng h\u1ea1ng nh\u1eb9 hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ea1i nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111i qua, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y hi\u1ec3n nhi\u00ean l\u00e0m thay \u0111\u1ed5i th\u1ebf c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c trong m\u1ed9t khu v\u1ef1c m\u1ea5u ch\u1ed1t: cao nguy\u00ean Doklam l\u00e0 n\u01a1i duy nh\u1ea5t tr\u00ean bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi \u1ea4n-Trung m\u00e0 \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf v\u1ec1 th\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ecba trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p x\u1ea3y ra xung \u0111\u1ed9t. N\u00f3 ch\u1ec9 c\u00e1ch v\u00e0i ch\u1ee5c km l\u00e0 t\u1edbi khu v\u1ef1c \u201cc\u1ed5 g\u00e0\u201d – h\u00e0nh lang Siliguri, d\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ea5t h\u1eb9p chia t\u00e1ch ph\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea5t l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u1edbi c\u00e1c t\u1ec9nh ph\u00eda \u0110\u00f4ng B\u1eafc c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y, n\u1eb1m k\u1eb9t gi\u1eefa Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 Bangladesh. V\u00ec v\u1eady, con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh, bi\u1ebfn \u0111i\u1ec3m m\u1ea1nh duy nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec3m y\u1ebfu nguy hi\u1ec3m.<\/p>\n

Ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ed9ng qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u0103n c\u1ea3n qu\u00e2n Trung Qu\u1ed1c ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c thi c\u00f4ng, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch r\u1eb1ng khu v\u1ef1c li\u00ean quan thu\u1ed9c v\u1ec1 Bhutan ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i Trung Qu\u1ed1c. Hai \u201cg\u00e3 kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3\u201d \u0111\u00e3 t\u1eadp h\u1ee3p h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0n qu\u00e2n \u1edf hai b\u00ean bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi. C\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ti\u1ec7n th\u00f4ng tin \u0111\u1ea1i ch\u00fang c\u1ee7a hai n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e3 n\u00f3i \u0111\u1ebfn chi\u1ebfn tranh cho t\u1edbi khi Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh xu\u1ed1ng thang.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, s\u1ef1 xu\u1ed1ng thang n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u1eeb nay \u1edf trong m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 ho\u00e0 d\u1ecbu, l\u00e1ng gi\u1ec1ng t\u1ed1t. Tr\u00e1i l\u1ea1i, cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t n\u00e0y di\u1ec5n ra trong m\u1ed9t b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh t\u1eebng b\u01b0\u1edbc gia t\u0103ng nh\u1eefng c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng gi\u1eefa hai n\u01b0\u1edbc: New Delhi kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n gi\u1ea5u gi\u1ebfm s\u1ef1 ph\u1eabn n\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c th\u00e2m nh\u1eadp li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c, trong v\u00f2ng 10 n\u0103m, \u0111\u00e3 l\u1ea5y \u0111i c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd 2.000 km2 l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 t\u1ea1i Himalaya v\u00e0 t\u1eeb ch\u1ed1i tham gia d\u1ef1 \u00e1n \u201cV\u00e0nh \u0111ai v\u00e0 Con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng\u201d c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c – con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng t\u01a1 l\u1ee5a m\u1edbi \u0111i qua Pakistan v\u00e0 t\u1ec9nh Kashmir \u0111ang c\u00f3 tranh ch\u1ea5p.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u00f2n nh\u1eefng l\u00fd do s\u00e2u xa h\u01a1n bu\u1ed9c \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c ph\u1ea3i \u1edf th\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u. V\u00e0o l\u00fac tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c kinh t\u1ebf l\u1edbn th\u1ee9 hai th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, Trung Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n m\u1ed9t qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 (ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh r\u1eb1ng s\u1ef1 ngang b\u1eb1ng v\u1edbi M\u1ef9 v\u1ec1 l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2020), cho ph\u00e9p B\u1eafc Kinh tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u1ecb th\u1ebf l\u1ecbch s\u1eed c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd l\u00e0 c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c s\u1ed1 m\u1ed9t \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c1, v\u00e0 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd t\u1eeb \u0110\u00f4ng Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1edbi c\u00e1c b\u1edd bi\u1ec3n ch\u00e2u Phi. \u1ede \u0111\u00e2y xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n sau l\u01b0ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 \u0111e d\u1ecda tru\u1ea5t ng\u00f4i h\u1ecd trong t\u1ea5t c\u00e1c l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c: l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed c\u1eadn \u0111\u1ea1i, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 \u0111\u00e3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua Trung Qu\u1ed1c trong n\u0103m 2017. V\u1ec1 d\u00e2n s\u1ed1, \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 s\u1ebd v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2022 – theo m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh, c\u00f3 l\u1ebd \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 x\u1ea3y ra t\u1eeb v\u00e0i th\u00e1ng nay. M\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 minh ho\u1ea1 bi\u1ebft n\u00f3i: Foxconn, doanh nghi\u1ec7p \u0110\u00e0i Loan t\u01b0\u1ee3ng tr\u01b0ng cho s\u1ef1 c\u1ea5t c\u00e1nh c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c, \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, n\u01a1i c\u00f3 m\u1ee9c l\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n. Trong kho\u1ea3ng 20 n\u0103m t\u1edbi, m\u1ecdi ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 khi\u1ebfn ta ngh\u0129 r\u1eb1ng \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 s\u1ebd b\u1eaft k\u1ecbp Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 s\u1ebd ngang b\u1eb1ng v\u1edbi B\u1eafc Kinh v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 s\u1ebd h\u01a1n h\u1eb3n n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y t\u1edbi h\u00e0ng tr\u0103m tri\u1ec7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00f3 ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 m\u1ed1i lo c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o B\u1eafc Kinh. H\u1ecd nh\u1eadn th\u1ea5y r\u1eb1ng c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ec3 thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 b\u00e1 quy\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c, v\u1ed1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec1u t\u1ea5t y\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a an ninh qu\u1ed1c gia, \u0111ang b\u1ecb thu h\u1eb9p l\u1ea1i v\u00e0 r\u1eb1ng th\u1eddi gian \u0111ang ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i h\u1ecd. T\u1ea1i Trung Qu\u1ed1c, \u0111\u1ed9 tu\u1ed5i t\u1eeb 15 \u0111\u1ebfn 24 c\u00f3 kho\u1ea3ng 190 tri\u1ec7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi, trong \u0111\u00f3, c\u00f3 100 tri\u1ec7u nam gi\u1edbi v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 90 tri\u1ec7u n\u1eef gi\u1edbi, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 c\u0169ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed9 tu\u1ed5i 25-34 tu\u1ed5i. Suy cho c\u00f9ng, s\u1ef1 m\u1ea5t c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng n\u00e0y s\u1ebd \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1ea1nh t\u1edbi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 sinh \u0111\u1ebb v\u00e0 d\u1eabn t\u1edbi m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng gi\u00e0 ho\u00e1 v\u1ec1 d\u00e2n s\u1ed1. Tuy nhi\u00ean, hi\u1ec7n nay, \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 hy sinh 20 tri\u1ec7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi tr\u1ebb m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng d\u1eabn t\u1edbi h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 v\u1ec1 d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 v\u1ec1 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n

Gi\u1edbi tinh hoa Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn l\u1ee3i d\u1ee5ng th\u1eddi c\u01a1 hi\u1ebfm hoi v\u00e0 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng ngu\u1ed3n nh\u00e2n l\u1ef1c m\u00e0 h\u1ecd c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3, th\u00f4ng qua m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t ho\u1eb7c m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1t c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t m\u00e0 h\u1ecd hy v\u1ecdng ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn l\u00e0 ng\u1eafn ng\u1ee7i v\u00e0 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf, gi\u00e0nh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t \u01b0u th\u1ebf \u0111\u1ee7 gi\u00fap h\u1ecd ch\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ee1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9. Ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n, h\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 chia c\u1eaft l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 t\u1ea1i h\u00e0nh lang Siliguri v\u00e0 bi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c t\u1ec9nh \u0110\u00f4ng B\u1eafc n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y th\u00e0nh nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 h\u1ee3p \u00fd Trung Qu\u1ed1c, ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u1ea9y l\u00f9i bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi \u1ea4n-Trung v\u1ec1 ch\u00e2n n\u00fai Himalaya, nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, bi\u1ebfn d\u00e3y n\u00fai n\u00e0y th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t b\u1ee9c tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u00e0nh kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3 ph\u00eda Nam, hay t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00e1c v\u1ecb tr\u00ed c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd tr\u00ean \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 D\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o n\u00ean \u201cchu\u1ed7i ng\u1ecdc trai\u201d n\u1ed5i ti\u1ebfng.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, ch\u00fang ta h\u00e3y nh\u1edb m\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec1u, c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh ban \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn l\u00e0 di\u1ec5n ra trong th\u1eddi gian ng\u1eafn th\u01b0\u1eddng hay c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng b\u1ecb sa l\u1ea7y, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t khi do c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u1edbn v\u00e0 r\u1ea5t \u0111\u00f4ng d\u00e2n ph\u00e1t \u0111\u1ed9ng: v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 XX, \u0111\u1ebf qu\u1ed1c Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n c\u00f3 v\u1ecb th\u1ebf nh\u01b0 B\u1eafc Kinh ng\u00e0y nay, \u0111\u00e3 m\u1eafc \u0111\u00fang sai l\u1ea7m n\u00e0y khi ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i Trung Qu\u1ed1c khi \u0111\u00f3. V\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi M\u1ef9 c\u0169ng theo c\u00e1ch m\u00e0 h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00fac \u0111\u00f3, gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y ch\u1eafc h\u1eb3n s\u1ebd h\u1eadu thu\u1eabn cho \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9; v\u1ea3 l\u1ea1i v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2017, hai n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e3 x\u00edch l\u1ea1i g\u1ea7n nhau m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ly k\u1ef3. M\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh \u1ea4n-Trung \u1edf quy m\u00f4 l\u1edbn, s\u1ebd mang l\u1ea1i cho M\u1ef9 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i l\u00e0m ti\u00eau hao s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c Trung Qu\u1ed1c m\u1edbi, b\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c cung c\u1ea5p trang b\u1ecb v\u0169 kh\u00ed cho \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9. Tuy nhi\u00ean, s\u1ef1 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng \u0111i xa h\u01a1n, v\u00ec m\u1ed9t m\u1eb7t, kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 li\u00ean minh qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 gi\u1eefa New Dehli v\u00e0 Washington, v\u00e0 m\u1eb7t kh\u00e1c, h\u1ecd kh\u00f4ng mu\u1ed1n \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 tr\u1edf n\u00ean qu\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh.<\/p>\n

Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, tr\u1ee5c b\u00e0nh tr\u01b0\u1edbng th\u1ee9 2 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ea1i Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng v\u00e0 t\u1ea1i Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng, s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ed9ng ch\u1ea1m nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n t\u1edbi c\u00e1c l\u1ee3i \u00edch v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ed3ng minh c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, v\u00e0 s\u1ebd bu\u1ed9c n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y ph\u1ea3i can thi\u1ec7p tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp. V\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 XXI n\u00e0y, B\u1eafc Kinh g\u1eb7p ph\u1ea3i nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u00e0o n\u0103m 1940, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft ph\u1ea3i xua \u0111u\u1ed5i nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y kh\u1ecfi qu\u1ed1c gia l\u00e2n c\u1eadn h\u1ecd \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n quy\u1ec1n b\u00e1 ch\u1ee7 kh\u00f4ng chia s\u1ebb c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, n\u1ebfu nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f3 c\u1ea3m t\u01b0\u1edfng r\u1eb1ng, tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, th\u1eddi gian \u0111ang ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i h\u1ecd, th\u00ec tr\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1ef9 \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 l\u1ea1i ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n kh\u00e1c. Do \u0111\u00f3, \u00edt kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp v\u1edbi M\u1ef9, tr\u1eeb phi c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed9t nhi\u00ean xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n, cho ph\u00e9p h\u1ecd hy v\u1ecdng c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eefng k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 r\u1ea5t quan tr\u1ecdng, tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9. \u0110\u00f3 c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p M\u1ef9 b\u1eadn r\u1ed9n t\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u do m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a Nga ch\u1ed1ng c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Baltic, nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 n\u1ebfu c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean xoay chuy\u1ec3n theo h\u01b0\u1edbng b\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i cho M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi \u0111\u1eb7t M\u1ef9 v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t t\u00ecnh th\u1ebf kh\u00f3 x\u1eed. H\u00e3y ngh\u0129 \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng Anh-M\u1ef9 t\u1ea1i Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng: Nh\u1eefng th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Anh t\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u tr\u01b0\u1edbc n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0110\u1ee9c c\u1ee7a Hitler khi\u1ebfn ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta ngh\u0129 r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c thu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ecba c\u1ee7a Anh \u1edf \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh nh\u1eefng mi\u1ebfng m\u1ed3i ngon, v\u1edbi \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n qu\u00e2n M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u00fap \u0111\u1ee1 Anh, b\u1ecb t\u00ea li\u1ec7t. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch cho cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng Tr\u00e2n Ch\u00e2u C\u1ea3ng v\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n \u1edf quy m\u00f4 l\u1edbn v\u00e0o c\u00e1c qu\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea3o ch\u00e2u \u00c1. C\u1ea3 \u1edf \u0111\u00e2y, m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn d\u00e0i v\u00e0 kh\u1ee7ng khi\u1ebfp \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e1t \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1edbi hy v\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00e0 thu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eefng th\u1eafng l\u1ee3i nhanh ch\u00f3ng v\u00e0 gi\u1eef \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00e0nh qu\u1ea3 \u0111\u00f3 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf. C\u1ea3 \u1edf \u0111\u00e2y n\u1eefa, k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i do M\u1ef9 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh theo \u0111u\u1ed5i chi\u1ebfn tranh t\u1edbi chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n.<\/p>\n

Nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec1u di\u1ec5n ra c\u00f3 l\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng kh\u00e1c m\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c: l\u1ee3i d\u1ee5ng s\u1ef1 cam k\u1ebft c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 t\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, B\u1eafc Kinh t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch bi\u1ebfn Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng, v\u1ed1n l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c tranh ch\u1ea5p ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n t\u1eeb nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m nay, th\u00e0nh bi\u1ec3n n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. B\u1eafc Kinh s\u1ebd x\u00e2m chi\u1ebfm (ho\u1eb7c th\u1eed x\u00e2m chi\u1ebfm) c\u00e1c v\u1ecb tr\u00ed b\u00e0n \u0111\u1ea1p t\u1ea1i Philippines, Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0 Malaysia, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t, t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch gi\u00e0nh l\u1ea1i \u0110\u00e0i Loan. \u0110\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y, h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng tr\u1ecdng t\u1ea3i c\u00e1c t\u00e0u qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1, c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ti\u1ec7n thu\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c ph\u1ed1i h\u1ee3p – \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t, ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n xe t\u0103ng l\u1ed9i n\u01b0\u1edbc t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng nhanh nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi – c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 nh\u1eefng n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c v\u1ec1 h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i-h\u00e0ng kh\u00f4ng – v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c \u0111ang \u0111\u00f3ng t\u00e0u s\u00e2n bay th\u1ee9 hai v\u00e0 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 h\u00f3a nhi\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ea3o. V\u00ec M\u1ef9 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ec3 m\u1eb7c cho Trung Qu\u1ed1c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng, chi\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 c\u00f3 l\u1ebd s\u1ebd m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng t\u1edbi Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u00e0 H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c, nh\u1eefng c\u0103n c\u1ee9 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 b\u00ean c\u1ea1nh Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n

Xung \u0111\u1ed9t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m. M\u1ef9 ph\u1ea3i chia l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh tr\u00ean hai m\u1eb7t tr\u1eadn, tuy nhi\u00ean, h\u1ecd c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c li\u00ean minh s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3, trong khi \u0111\u00f3, Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb sa l\u1ea7y t\u1ea1i \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9. K\u1ebft c\u1ee5c s\u1ebd l\u00e0, c\u0169ng gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 Nga, m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 chia c\u1eaft l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5, ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u00f3 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn d\u1eabn t\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c ng\u01b0\u1eddi H\u00e1n co l\u1ea1i tr\u00ean m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc, c\u00f2n T\u00e2y T\u1ea1ng v\u00e0 T\u00e2n C\u01b0\u01a1ng s\u1ebd tr\u1edf n\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp; v\u00f9ng T\u00e2n C\u01b0\u01a1ng, n\u01a1i c\u01b0 tr\u00fa c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi Duy Ng\u00f4 Nh\u0129 n\u00f3i ti\u1ebfng Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u00e1p nh\u1eadp v\u1edbi khu v\u1ef1c \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a c\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed3ng Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3, v\u1ed1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3i ph\u00f3ng do s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a Nga.<\/p>\n

Nh\u1eefng r\u1ed1i lo\u1ea1n c\u1ee7a Trung \u0110\u00f4ng <\/strong><\/p>\n

Trung \u0110\u00f4ng kh\u00e1c v\u1edbi hai chi\u1ebfn tr\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u00ean v\u00ec \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng s\u1eb5n: N\u0103m 2011, c\u00e1c Phong tr\u00e0o m\u00f9a Xu\u00e2n Ar\u1eadp \u0111\u00e3 m\u1edf ra giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2 c\u1ee7a l\u1ecbch s\u1eed hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ea1i trong n\u1ec1n ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb H\u1ed3i gi\u00e1o, giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o n\u0103m 1979, th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m di\u1ec5n ra cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a Li\u00ean X\u00f4 v\u00e0o Afghanistan, t\u1eeb cu\u1ed9c c\u00e1ch m\u1ea1ng Iran v\u00e0 v\u1ee5 b\u1eaft c\u00f3c con tin t\u1ea1i Th\u00e1nh \u0111\u1ecba Mecca. S\u1ef1 h\u1ed7n lo\u1ea1n tr\u00f9m l\u00ean c\u1ea3 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n khu v\u1ef1c, t\u1ea1i Libya, Syria, Iraq, Yemen. C\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t c\u1ee5c b\u1ed9 n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c duy tr\u00ec b\u1edfi c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c khu v\u1ef1c b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c qu\u00e2n c\u1edd c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd – Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Qatar – v\u00e0 xung \u0111\u1ed9t th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c nh\u00f3m trung gian. V\u1ec1 ph\u1ea7n m\u00ecnh, Israel l\u1ee3i d\u1ee5ng s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7n lo\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ec3 thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp c\u00e1c li\u00ean minh m\u1edbi: quan h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi Ai C\u1eadp r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u00e2m n\u00f3ng t\u1eeb khi nguy\u00ean so\u00e1i al-Sissi l\u00ean n\u1eafm quy\u1ec1n, v\u00e0 hai n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ea5u tranh ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i s\u1ef1 c\u1eafm ch\u00e2n c\u1ee7a Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc H\u1ed3i gi\u00e1o (IS) t\u1ea1i Sinai; m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 x\u00edch l\u1ea1i g\u1ea7n nhau t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 \u0111\u00e3 di\u1ec5n ra gi\u1eefa Tel-Aviv v\u00e0 Saudi Arabia, cho d\u00f9 Riyad ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c ph\u1ee7 nh\u1eadn \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

S\u1ef1 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t l\u1edbn gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c si\u00eau c\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0 Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng, s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi th\u1ebf qu\u00e2n b\u00ecnh t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111ang th\u1eafng th\u1ebf t\u1ea1i Trung \u0110\u00f4ng. C\u00f3 l\u1ebd nh\u1eefng c\u00e1m d\u1ed7 b\u1ecb k\u00ecm n\u00e9n b\u1edfi s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a sen \u0111\u1ea7m M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t khi M\u1ef9 \u201cm\u1eafc ngh\u1eb9n\u201d v\u1edbi hai mi\u1ebfng \u201cb\u00e1nh l\u1edbn\u201d \u1edf 2 \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. \u0110\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t, ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta ngh\u0129 t\u1edbi nh\u1eefng c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i gi\u1eefa Iran (\u0111\u1ed3ng minh c\u1ee7a Nga) v\u00e0 Saudi Arabia (th\u00e2n c\u1eadn c\u1ee7a Washington). Cho t\u1edbi nay, hai c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c khu v\u1ef1c n\u00e0y \u0111ang \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch gi\u00e1n ti\u1ebfp t\u1ea1i Syria v\u00e0 Yemen, tuy nhi\u00ean, do s\u1ef1 r\u00fat lui c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 kh\u1ecfi khu v\u1ef1c v\u1ef1c n\u00e0y, hai n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd tham chi\u1ebfn tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp – gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 vi\u1ec7c Mussolini \u0111\u00e3 l\u1ee3i d\u1ee5ng nh\u1eefng kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n c\u1ee7a Anh v\u00e0 Ph\u00e1p \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng Hy L\u1ea1p n\u0103m 1940. Cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00e0y c\u00f3 l\u1ebd s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng bao gi\u1edd di\u1ec5n ra n\u1ebfu nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c si\u00eau c\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 \u0111\u00f3 – Ph\u00e1p v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ebf qu\u1ed1c Anh \u2013 c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7 c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ti\u1ec7n. Trong m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, Iran c\u00f3 l\u1ebd mu\u1ed1n v\u01b0\u01a1n tay t\u1edbi b\u1edd T\u00e2y c\u1ee7a bi\u1ec3n Oman, khu v\u1ef1c d\u1ea7u l\u1eeda ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 l\u00e0 n\u01a1i sinh s\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi thi\u1ec3u s\u1ed1 Shiite Ar\u1eadp. C\u0103n c\u1ee9 v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Riyadh t\u1ea1i Yemen, ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 nghi ng\u1edd v\u1ec1 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a Saudi Arabia trong vi\u1ec7c m\u1ed9t m\u00ecnh ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Iran, v\u1ed1n c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ng\u01b0\u1eddi Shiite Iraq y\u1ec3m tr\u1ee3. Tuy nhi\u00ean, ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn Saudi Arabia c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u00f4ng c\u1eady – d\u00f9 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch kh\u00f4ng ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c v\u00e0 r\u1ea5t k\u00edn \u0111\u00e1o – v\u00e0o s\u1ef1 gi\u00fap \u0111\u1ee1 c\u1ee7a Israel, v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn Tehran th\u00fac gi\u1ee5c Hezbollah t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng \u201ck\u1ebb th\u00f9 Do Th\u00e1i\u201d. K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 d\u1eabn t\u1edbi m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi xung \u0111\u1ed9t n\u0103m 2016, Hezbollah \u0111\u1ee9ng ch\u00e2n kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 \u1edf Liban m\u00e0 c\u00f2n \u1edf ph\u00eda Nam Syria, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00e2y, h\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1eafn t\u00ean l\u1eeda t\u1edbi l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 Israel. V\u1ec1 ph\u1ea7n m\u00ecnh, Israel c\u00f3 l\u1ebd th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 \u0111ang trong cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i Hezbollah m\u00e0 c\u00f2n ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i Syria. Ngay t\u1eeb b\u00e2y gi\u1edd, nh\u00e0 c\u1ea7m quy\u1ec1n Israel \u0111ang d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n n\u00e0y, trong \u0111\u00f3, h\u1ecd t\u00ednh c\u1ea3 nguy c\u01a1 xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi v\u1edbi Hamas.<\/p>\n

Trong c\u01a1n l\u1ed1c n\u00e0y, Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3 s\u1ebd c\u00f3 th\u00e1i \u0111\u1ed9 nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o? Th\u1eadt kh\u00f3 n\u00f3i v\u00ec s\u1ef1 x\u00edch l\u1ea1i g\u1ea7n m\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y v\u1edbi Moskva. Khi x\u1ea3y ra \u0111\u1ea3o ch\u00ednh th\u00e1ng 7\/2016, Recep Tayyip Erdogan kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng ch\u1eadm ch\u1ea1p v\u00e0 y\u1ebfu \u1edbt c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 t\u00e1n th\u00e0nh vi\u1ec7c l\u1eadt \u0111\u1ed5 \u201cnh\u00e0 vua Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3\u201d tuy kh\u00f4ng n\u00f3i ra. \u00d4ng c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng chia s\u1ebb cam k\u1ebft c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 ng\u01b0\u1eddi Kurd tr\u00ean \u0111\u1ea5t Syria. Tuy nhi\u00ean, vi\u1ec7c ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn Iran t\u0103ng th\u00eam s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn s\u1ebd l\u00e0 n\u1ed7i lo s\u1ee3 l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng v\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ngh\u0129 r\u1eb1ng, \u0111\u01a1n thu\u1ea7n do \u00fd th\u1ee9c v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ecba chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c, Erdogan s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ee9ng v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, c\u00f3 l\u1ebd \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed5i l\u1ea5y vi\u1ec7c h\u1ecd t\u1eeb b\u1ecf s\u1ef1 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 d\u00e0nh cho s\u1ef1 nghi\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi Kurd. Nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, \u00f4ng s\u1ebd xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n nh\u01b0 k\u1ebb chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng l\u1edbn c\u1ee7a khu v\u1ef1c v\u00e0 h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n t\u1eeb s\u1ef1 r\u00fat lui c\u1ee7a Nga-Trung ra kh\u1ecfi kh\u00f4ng gian Th\u1ed5 ng\u1eef. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 l\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn Erdogan tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t ki\u1ec3u \u201cStalin c\u1ee7a H\u1ed3i gi\u00e1o\u201d. Ph\u1ea1m vi \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn s\u1ebd t\u1ea1o th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t kh\u1ed1i th\u00f9 \u0111\u1ecbch v\u1edbi tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9. Tuy nhi\u00ean, n\u00f3 s\u1ebd b\u1ecb ch\u1eb7n l\u1ea1i \u1edf s\u01b0\u1eddn ph\u00eda Nam b\u1edfi s\u1ef1 duy tr\u00ec s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a Israel v\u00e0 b\u1edfi m\u1ed9t Saudi Arabia, v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 gi\u00fap \u0111\u1ee1 c\u1ee7a Washington, ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Iran. M\u1ed9t Iran m\u00e0 ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 s\u1ed1ng s\u00f3t qua m\u1ed9t th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i v\u00e0 r\u1ed1t cu\u1ed9c l\u1ea1i s\u00e1p nh\u1eadp v\u00e0o li\u00ean minh c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, mi\u1ec5n l\u00e0 h\u1ecd b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u m\u1ed9t giai \u0111o\u1ea1n qu\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed9 d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1.<\/p>\n

Nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi di\u1ec5n ra tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, chi\u1ebfn tranh trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai s\u1ebd d\u1ea7n d\u1ea7n lan ra nhi\u1ec1u chi\u1ebfn tr\u01b0\u1eddng, m\u1ed7i cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t m\u1edbi l\u00e0m suy gi\u1ea3m kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u201cng\u01b0\u1eddi canh gi\u1eef h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh\u201d th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi – M\u1ef9 – trong vi\u1ec7c duy tr\u00ec tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch r\u0103n \u0111e \u0111\u01a1n thu\u1ea7n. Tuy nhi\u00ean, b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p hi\u1ec7u \u1ee9ng \u201cqu\u1ea3 c\u1ea7u tuy\u1ebft\u201d n\u00e0y, r\u1ea5t c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng M\u1ef9, v\u1edbi \u01b0u th\u1ebf v\u1ec1 v\u0169 kh\u00ed th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng, s\u1ebd chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c nh\u01b0 Nga v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c, v\u00e0 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd ra m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn khu v\u1ef1c tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. S\u1ef1 th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i trong ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch b\u00e0nh tr\u01b0\u1edbng c\u1ee7a Moskva v\u00e0 B\u1eafc Kinh, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y ra t\u1ea1i nh\u1eefng n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng c\u1ee7a ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 so s\u00e1nh v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a Li\u00ean X\u00f4, m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng h\u1ec1 c\u1ea7n t\u1edbi m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. Do v\u1eady, tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi sau chi\u1ebfn tranh s\u1ebd b\u1ecb M\u1ef9 chi ph\u1ed1i h\u01a1n bao gi\u1edd h\u1ebft, v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t n\u01b0\u1edbc Trung Qu\u1ed1c gia nh\u1eadp h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed3ng minh c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 di\u1ec5n ra v\u1edbi \u0110\u1ee9c v\u00e0 Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y.<\/p>\n

V\u1ec1 ph\u1ea7n m\u00ecnh, s\u1ef1 \u0111e d\u1ecda ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb H\u1ed3i gi\u00e1o s\u1ebd lu\u00f4n hi\u1ec7n h\u1eefu, tuy nhi\u00ean, n\u00f3 s\u1ebd c\u00f3 t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c h\u01a1n v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 n\u1ed5i l\u00ean c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ea3ng h\u1ee9ng th\u00fa v\u1edbi h\u1ec7 t\u01b0 t\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c Anh em H\u1ed3i gi\u00e1o, k\u1ec3 c\u1ea3 t\u1ea1i nh\u1eefng n\u01b0\u1edbc T\u00e2y \u00c2u c\u00f3 \u0111\u00f4ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi thi\u1ec3u s\u1ed1 H\u1ed3i gi\u00e1o. S\u1ef1 ti\u1ebfn h\u00f3a n\u00e0y s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u00edch th\u00edch b\u1edfi s\u1ef1 tr\u1ed7i d\u1eady c\u1ee7a Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3 nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t c\u1ef1c th\u1ed1ng tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a t\u01b0 t\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb H\u1ed3i gi\u00e1o, v\u1ed1n s\u1ebd gi\u1eef m\u1ed9t vai tr\u00f2 \u0111i\u1ec1u ph\u1ed1i v\u00e0 t\u00e0i tr\u1ee3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 so s\u00e1nh v\u1edbi vai tr\u00f2 m\u00e0 Li\u00ean X\u00f4 \u0111\u00e3 n\u1eafm gi\u1eef tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y. Ch\u00ednh trong v\u00f2ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 n\u00e0y l\u00e0 n\u01a1i t\u1eadp trung c\u1ee7a t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t m\u00e3n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. S\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed1i kh\u00e1ng m\u1edbi n\u00e0y c\u00f3 l\u1ebd s\u1ebd l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t d\u1eef ki\u1ec7n ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu trong vi\u1ec7c thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf s\u1eafp t\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

Ng\u00e0y d\u1eabn t\u1edbi chi\u1ebfn tranh d\u0129 nhi\u00ean l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n. X\u00e9t nh\u1eefng bi\u1ebfn s\u1ed1 kh\u00e1c nhau, nh\u01b0 tu\u1ed5i t\u00e1c c\u1ee7a Vladimir Putin v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi th\u00e2n c\u1eadn c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng, xu\u1ea5t th\u00e2n t\u1eeb c\u01a1 quan an ninh qu\u1ed1c gia ho\u1eb7c qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i, v\u1ed1n luy\u1ebfn ti\u1ebfc s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh X\u00f4vi\u1ebft, t\u00ecnh th\u1ebf chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c so v\u1edbi \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 hay qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh v\u0169 trang c\u1ee7a hai si\u00eau c\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00e0y, ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f3 l\u00fd khi ngh\u0129 r\u1eb1ng trong 10 n\u0103m t\u1edbi, ch\u00fang ta s\u1ebd b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t v\u00f9ng b\u1ea5t tr\u1eafc t\u1ed1i \u0111a. C\u1ea7n hy v\u1ecdng r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u s\u1ebd c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p h\u01a1n n\u1eefa \u0111\u1ec3 r\u0103n \u0111e m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c phi\u00eau l\u01b0u c\u1ee7a Nga t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Baltic v\u00e0 ch\u1eb7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c m\u01b0u \u0111\u1ed3 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c trong khu v\u1ef1c ngo\u1ea1i vi c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. C\u0169ng nh\u01b0 h\u1ecd s\u1ebd chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb cho t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra – kh\u00f4ng h\u00ecnh dung \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 b\u00ecnh lu\u1eadn – c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Nga v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c, tr\u00ean c\u00e1c m\u1eb7t tr\u1eadn c\u1ee7a m\u1ed7i n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ec3 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf t\u1ed1i \u0111a nh\u1eefng th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng ban \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y. V\u00ec ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta bi\u1ebft r\u1eb1ng nh\u1eefng tr\u1eadn \u0111\u00e1nh \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o t\u1edbi k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t m\u00e0 ch\u00fang kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ea7u: Hitler l\u1ebd ra \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 tr\u1ee5 l\u00e2u nh\u01b0 v\u1eady n\u1ebfu nh\u01b0 \u00f4ng ta \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng c\u01b0\u1edbp ph\u00e1 n\u01b0\u1edbc Ph\u00e1p; c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 v\u1eady \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, n\u1ebfu n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u00e1c nguy\u00ean li\u1ec7u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea5y t\u1eeb c\u00e1c thu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ecba Anh b\u1ecb chinh ph\u1ee5c.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ec3 tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i nh\u1eadn x\u00e9t ban \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang t\u00f4i: Ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 c\u1ea3n tr\u1edf nh\u1eefng s\u1ef1 d\u1ecbch chuy\u1ec3n ki\u1ebfn t\u1ea1o nh\u01b0ng, b\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 ph\u00f2ng ng\u1eeba th\u00edch h\u1ee3p, ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i v\u00e0 s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00e1c n\u1ea1n nh\u00e2n.<\/p>\n

nghiencuubiendong<\/p>\n

Theo T\u1ea1p ch\u00ed Politique internationale<\/a>, Ph\u00e1p s\u1ed1 158\/2018.<\/strong>\n

Aufrufe: 190<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Xung \u0111\u1ed9t l\u1edbn s\u1ebd di\u1ec5n ra tr\u00ean 3 \u0111\u1ea5u tr\u01b0\u1eddng l\u1edbn: Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 v\u00e0 Trung \u0110\u00f4ng. Nh\u1eefng d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n n\u00e0y c\u00f3 v\u1ebb c\u1ef1c \u0111oan, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed l\u00e0 k\u1ef3 c\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng b\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ecdc t\u1eeb h\u00e0ng th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 nay quen v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i c\u1ee7a th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u1ea7n …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[97,1,37],"tags":[128],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3155"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3155"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3155\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3157,"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3155\/revisions\/3157"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3155"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3155"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3155"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}