{"id":5398,"date":"2019-11-03T22:48:56","date_gmt":"2019-11-03T21:48:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/east-sea.de\/?p=5398"},"modified":"2019-11-11T22:04:29","modified_gmt":"2019-11-11T21:04:29","slug":"tieng-viet-nen-kinh-te-toan-cau-khong-the-duoc-cuu-khoi-vuc-tham-suy-thoai-vi-dong-usd-qua-manh","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/2019\/11\/03\/tieng-viet-nen-kinh-te-toan-cau-khong-the-duoc-cuu-khoi-vuc-tham-suy-thoai-vi-dong-usd-qua-manh\/","title":{"rendered":"N\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee9u kh\u1ecfi ‘v\u1ef1c th\u1eb3m’ suy tho\u00e1i v\u00ec \u0111\u1ed3ng USD qu\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh?"},"content":{"rendered":"
T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111ang gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed1c. Trong nh\u1eefng cu\u1ed9c suy tho\u00e1i t\u1eebng x\u1ea3y ra tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y, c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n nhanh ph\u1ea7n n\u00e0o gi\u00fap c\u1ee9u n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u kh\u1ecfi “h\u1ed1 \u0111en”. Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 g\u00e2y c\u1ea3n tr\u1edf \u1edf l\u1ea7n n\u00e0y l\u00e0: \u0111\u1ed3ng USD m\u1ea1nh.<\/em><\/strong><\/div>\n

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Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i v\u00e0 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 c\u0169ng \u0111ang cho th\u1ea5y nh\u1eefng d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u suy y\u1ebfu, th\u00ec c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111ang t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ecba \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 kh\u00e1c c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng sinh l\u1eddi t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n. C\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i nh\u01b0 H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c, Brazil ho\u1eb7c \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, l\u1ea1i mang \u0111\u1ebfn nhi\u1ec1u r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 h\u01a1n, nh\u01b0ng l\u1ea1i c\u00f3 t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 sinh l\u1eddi nhanh h\u01a1n c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n nh\u01b0 \u0110\u1ee9c hay M\u1ef9. C\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y c\u0169ng ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u v\u00e0 c\u00f3 m\u1ed1i t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan t\u1edbi s\u1ef1 d\u1ecbch chuy\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 h\u00e0ng ho\u00e1.\u1ede giai \u0111o\u1ea1n suy tho\u00e1i sau kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh, Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng g\u1ea7n 9% nh\u1edd chi ti\u00eau n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba m\u1ea1nh. David Hauner – chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c gia c\u1ee7a Bank of America, nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh: “N\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 Trung Qu\u1ed1c, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u s\u1ebd \u1edf m\u1ee9c \u00e2m v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2009.” Tuy nhi\u00ean, m\u1ecdi th\u1ee9 \u0111\u00e3 thay \u0111\u1ed5i trong th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 qua. Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n l\u00e0 “hi\u1ec7p s\u0129 trong b\u1ed9 \u00e1o gi\u00e1p s\u1eaft” nh\u01b0 tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y. N\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y c\u0169ng \u0111ang tr\u00ec t\u1ec7 v\u00e0 c\u00f3 \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y cao h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi 1 th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 tr\u01b0\u1edbc.Khi cu\u1ed9c suy tho\u00e1i ti\u1ebfp theo di\u1ec5n ra, s\u1ebd r\u1ea5t kh\u00f3 \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i kh\u00e1c b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o v\u00e0 gi\u00fap n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u tho\u00e1t kh\u1ecfi kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng khi \u0111\u1ed3ng USD v\u1eabn r\u1ea5t m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i th\u01b0\u1eddng vay n\u1ee3 b\u1eb1ng USD. Do \u0111\u00f3, \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ea1c xanh m\u1ea1nh s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn kho\u1ea3n n\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd tr\u1edf n\u00ean n\u1eb7ng n\u1ec1 h\u01a1n. M\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed3ng USD y\u1ebfu c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 xoa d\u1ecbu c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng \u0111\u00f3 v\u00e0 cho ph\u00e9p c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n nhanh h\u01a1n, c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng gi\u00fap th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi tho\u00e1t kh\u1ecfi suy tho\u00e1i.Hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang (Fed) \u0111ang h\u1ea1 d\u1ea7n l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ea1c xanh suy y\u1ebfu. D\u1eabu v\u1eady, qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch kh\u00f4ng di\u1ec5n ra nhanh ch\u00f3ng, \u00edt nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng di\u1ec5n ra v\u1edbi t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 nh\u01b0 T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Trump mong mu\u1ed1n. Hauner cho hay: “C\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u00fap ‘c\u1ee9u th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi’ kh\u1ecfi s\u1ef1 suy tho\u00e1i l\u1ea7n n\u00e0y, nh\u01b0ng vi\u1ec7c n\u00e0y \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed3ng USD y\u1ebfu h\u01a1n v\u00e0 Fed c\u0169ng n\u00ean m\u1ec1m m\u1ecfng h\u01a1n.”Nh\u1eefng qu\u1ed1c gia ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n nh\u01b0 M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111ang ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng lo ng\u1ea1i r\u1eb1ng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ef1c th\u1ea5p c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd th\u1ef1c ra kh\u00f4ng h\u1ec1 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng. Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t v\u00ed d\u1ee5 \u0111i\u1ec3n h\u00ecnh cho \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111ang th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn s\u00f4i n\u1ed5i v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c “Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n ho\u00e1” c\u1ee7a ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. N\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 \u0111ang t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u1edbi t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 nhanh h\u01a1n c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc, nh\u01b0ng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf v\u1eabn ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i.Theo d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn, Fed s\u1ebd t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp v\u00e0o tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n l\u00e0 h\u01a1n 90%, theo CME FedWatch Tool. D\u1eabu v\u1eady, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1eabn ph\u1ea3i ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i xem li\u1ec7u vi\u1ec7c h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec3 l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ed3ng USD hay kh\u00f4ng. C\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 th\u01b0\u1eddng y\u1ebfu \u0111i trong nh\u1eefng giai \u0111o\u1ea1n ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng.Trong n\u0103m nay, nh\u1eefng l\u1eddi ph\u00e0n n\u00e0n v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ed3ng USD xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng nhi\u1ec1u. T\u1eeb \u00f4ng Trump cho t\u1edbi \u1ee9ng vi\u00ean tranh c\u1eed t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea3ng D\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 Elizabeth Warren \u0111\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9 tr\u00edch r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ea1c xanh m\u1ea1nh s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn h\u00e0ng ho\u00e1 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 k\u00e9m h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn h\u01a1n tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 USD Index \u2013 th\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111o s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ea1c xanh so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n ch\u1ee7 ch\u1ed1t kh\u00e1c \u2013 \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng 1.6% trong n\u0103m nay. Tuy nhi\u00ean, b\u1ee9c tranh to\u00e0n c\u1ea3nh s\u1ebd r\u1ea5t kh\u00e1c khi xem x\u00e9t c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i. T\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m \u0111\u1ebfn nay, \u0111\u1ed3ng USD t\u0103ng 1.9% so v\u1edbi Rupee c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, t\u0103ng 4.1% so v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng Real c\u1ee7a Brazil v\u00e0 t\u0103ng 5.5% so v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng Won k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2019, nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n l\u00e0 v\u00ec chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i.H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh c\u00f2n t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 h\u01a1n khi c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u0111i vay b\u1eb1ng USD, trong khi nh\u1eefng kh\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t h\u1ea7u nh\u01b0 l\u1ea1i tr\u1ea3 n\u1ee3 b\u1eb1ng euro, Hauner cho hay. Do \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y ch\u1ecbu \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1edbn t\u1eeb t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a euro\/USD. Trong n\u0103m nay, \u0111\u1ed3ng euro \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m 3,2% so v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng USD.<\/p>\n

BDN\n

Aufrufe: 199<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111ang gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed1c. Trong nh\u1eefng cu\u1ed9c suy tho\u00e1i t\u1eebng x\u1ea3y ra tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y, c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n nhanh ph\u1ea7n n\u00e0o gi\u00fap c\u1ee9u n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u kh\u1ecfi “h\u1ed1 \u0111en”. Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 g\u00e2y c\u1ea3n tr\u1edf \u1edf l\u1ea7n n\u00e0y l\u00e0: \u0111\u1ed3ng USD m\u1ea1nh. …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[97,1,37],"tags":[208],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5398"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5398"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5398\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5401,"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5398\/revisions\/5401"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5398"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5398"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5398"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}