{"id":9981,"date":"2022-03-17T13:34:46","date_gmt":"2022-03-17T12:34:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/east-sea.de\/?p=9981"},"modified":"2022-03-18T12:48:25","modified_gmt":"2022-03-18T11:48:25","slug":"tieng-viet-dieu-gi-se-xay-ra-neu-nga-thua-o-ukraine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/2022\/03\/17\/tieng-viet-dieu-gi-se-xay-ra-neu-nga-thua-o-ukraine\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0110i\u1ec1u g\u00ec s\u1ebd x\u1ea3y ra n\u1ebfu Nga thua \u1edf Ukraine?"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
Th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Moscow kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng c\u1ee7a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y.<\/em><\/strong><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Nga Vladimir Putin \u0111\u00e3 m\u1eafc sai l\u1ea7m chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c khi x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c Ukraine. \u00d4ng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 sai k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi Ukraine, v\u1ed1n kh\u00f4ng ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3i ph\u00f3ng b\u1edfi nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi l\u00ednh Nga. \u00d4ng c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 sai v\u1ec1 M\u1ef9, Li\u00ean minh Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia \u2013 g\u1ed3m Australia, Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, Singapore, v\u00e0 H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c \u2013 t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1eadp th\u1ec3 khi \u0111\u1ee9ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc chi\u1ebfn tranh, v\u00e0 t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111ang ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Nga t\u1ea1i Ukraine. M\u1ef9 c\u00f9ng c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c \u0111ang \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t nh\u1eefng l\u1ec7nh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kh\u1eafc nghi\u1ec7t l\u00ean Moscow. M\u1ed7i cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ec1u l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t tr\u1eadn \u0111\u00e1nh nh\u1eb1m \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng d\u01b0 lu\u1eadn, v\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a Putin \u1edf Ukraine \u2013 trong th\u1eddi \u0111\u1ea1i h\u00ecnh \u1ea3nh truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea1i ch\u00fang \u2013 \u0111\u00e3 g\u1eafn n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng v\u00f4 c\u1edb, nh\u1eafm v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t l\u00e1ng gi\u1ec1ng h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh, g\u00e2y ra th\u01b0\u01a1ng vong l\u1edbn cho d\u00e2n th\u01b0\u1eddng, c\u00f9ng h\u00e0ng lo\u1ea1t nh\u1eefng t\u1ed9i \u00e1c chi\u1ebfn tranh. D\u00f9 \u1edf b\u1ea5t c\u1ee9 \u0111\u00e2u, s\u1ef1 ph\u1eabn n\u1ed9 s\u1ebd l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t tr\u1edf ng\u1ea1i cho ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Nga trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai.<\/p>\n

Kh\u00f4ng k\u00e9m ph\u1ea7n quan tr\u1ecdng so v\u1edbi sai l\u1ea7m chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a Putin l\u00e0 sai l\u1ea7m chi\u1ebfn thu\u1eadt c\u1ee7a qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Nga. D\u00f9 bi\u1ebft r\u1eb1ng kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn, nh\u01b0ng ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn ch\u00fang ta v\u1eabn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng c\u00f4ng t\u00e1c l\u1eadp k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch v\u00e0 h\u1eadu c\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a Nga l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7, v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c binh l\u00ednh, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c s\u0129 quan c\u1ea5p cao, b\u1ecb thi\u1ebfu th\u00f4ng tin \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn tinh th\u1ea7n h\u1ecd c\u00e0ng sa s\u00fat. Cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cho l\u00e0 s\u1ebd s\u1edbm k\u1ebft th\u00fac, khi m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng ch\u1edbp nho\u00e1ng nhanh ch\u00f3ng h\u1ea1 g\u1ee5c ho\u1eb7c bu\u1ed9c ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Ukraine ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ea7u h\u00e0ng, sau \u0111\u00f3 Moscow s\u1ebd \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng trung l\u1eadp l\u00ean Ukraine, ho\u1eb7c thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp quy\u1ec1n cai tr\u1ecb (suzerainty) c\u1ee7a Nga t\u1ea1i Ukraine. B\u1ea1o l\u1ef1c t\u1ed1i thi\u1ec3u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t t\u1ed1i thi\u1ec3u. N\u1ebfu ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Ukraine s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 nhanh ch\u00f3ng, Putin c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 r\u1eb1ng m\u00ecnh \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00fang: b\u1edfi v\u00ec Ukraine \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng, ho\u1eb7c kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 t\u1ef1 v\u1ec7, n\u00ean n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 \u2013 nh\u01b0 l\u1eddi T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Nga t\u1eebng n\u00f3i.<\/p>\n

Nh\u01b0ng Putin s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 gi\u00e0nh chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng trong cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn n\u00e0y nh\u01b0 \u00f4ng mu\u1ed1n. Th\u1eadt v\u1eady, c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n m\u00e0 trong \u0111\u00f3 cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi Nga s\u1ebd thua. Putin c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea9y qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh sa l\u1ea7y trong m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u00f3ng v\u00f4 \u00edch v\u00e0 t\u1ed1n k\u00e9m \u1edf Ukraine, b\u00e0o m\u00f2n tinh th\u1ea7n binh l\u00ednh Nga, ti\u00eau t\u1ed1n t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean, v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng mang l\u1ea1i l\u1ee3i \u00edch g\u00ec ngo\u00e0i danh hi\u1ec7u \u201cn\u01b0\u1edbc Nga v\u0129 \u0111\u1ea1i\u201d r\u1ed7ng tu\u1ebfch, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi khi\u1ebfn qu\u1ed1c gia l\u00e1ng gi\u1ec1ng r\u01a1i v\u00e0o c\u1ea3nh ngh\u00e8o \u0111\u00f3i v\u00e0 h\u1ed7n lo\u1ea1n. \u00d4ng ta c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t, \u1edf m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh, c\u00e1c khu v\u1ef1c mi\u1ec1n \u0111\u00f4ng v\u00e0 mi\u1ec1n nam Ukraine, nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng l\u00e0 c\u1ea3 Kyiv, trong khi chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u v\u1edbi l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng kh\u00e1ng chi\u1ebfn Ukraine ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng \u1edf mi\u1ec1n t\u00e2y, v\u00e0 tham gia chi\u1ebfn tranh du k\u00edch tr\u00ean kh\u1eafp \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc \u2013 m\u1ed9t k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n s\u1ebd g\u1ee3i nh\u1edb \u0111\u1ebfn xung \u0111\u1ed9t gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c phe ph\u00e1i di\u1ec5n ra \u1edf Ukraine trong Th\u1ebf chi\u1ebfn 2. C\u00f9ng l\u00fac \u0111\u00f3, \u00f4ng s\u1ebd ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Nga d\u1ea7n suy tho\u00e1i, \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng b\u1ecb c\u00f4 l\u1eadp, v\u00e0 ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u1ea1o ra c\u1ee7a c\u1ea3i v\u1ed1n l\u00e0 ch\u1ed7 d\u1ef1a cho c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c. K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 l\u00e0, Putin c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh m\u1ea5t s\u1ef1 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n v\u00e0 gi\u1edbi tinh hoa Nga, nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi m\u00e0 \u00f4ng ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh chi\u1ebfn tranh v\u00e0 duy tr\u00ec quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh, d\u00f9 Nga kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t n\u1ec1n d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7.<\/p>\n

Putin nh\u01b0 th\u1ec3 \u0111ang c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp l\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 h\u00ecnh th\u1ee9c c\u1ee7a ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a \u0111\u1ebf qu\u1ed1c Nga. Nh\u01b0ng trong canh b\u1ea1c l\u1edbn n\u00e0y, d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 \u00f4ng \u0111\u00e3 qu\u00ean m\u1ea5t nh\u1eefng s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1eb7t ra d\u1ea5u ch\u1ea5m h\u1ebft cho \u0110\u1ebf ch\u1ebf Nga. Sa ho\u00e0ng cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng c\u1ee7a Nga, Nicholas II, \u0111\u00e3 thua trong cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn v\u1edbi Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u00e0o n\u0103m 1905. Sau \u0111\u00f3, \u00f4ng tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh n\u1ea1n nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a C\u00e1ch m\u1ea1ng Bolshevik, kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 m\u1ea5t \u0111i v\u01b0\u01a1ng mi\u1ec7n, m\u00e0 c\u00f2n m\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 m\u1ea1ng s\u1ed1ng. B\u00e0i h\u1ecdc r\u00fat ra: nh\u00e0 c\u1ea7m quy\u1ec1n chuy\u00ean ch\u1ebf kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 thua trong c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn m\u00e0 v\u1eabn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ng\u1ed3i y\u00ean tr\u00ean ngai v\u00e0ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c.<\/p>\n

Trong cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn n\u00e0y, kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 ng\u01b0\u1eddi chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng<\/strong><\/p>\n

Putin kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 thua tr\u00ean chi\u1ebfn tr\u01b0\u1eddng Ukraine. Nh\u01b0ng \u00f4ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 thua khi cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn \u0111i \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1ed3i k\u1ebft v\u00e0 m\u1edf ra c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi: \u2018Ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 g\u00ec?\u2019 Nh\u1eefng h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 kh\u00f4n l\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 b\u1ecb \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 th\u1ea5p c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn v\u00f4 ngh\u0129a n\u00e0y s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn Nga kh\u00f3 m\u00e0 ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn n\u1ed5i. V\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c thi\u1ebfu k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb cho t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai \u2013 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 so s\u00e1nh v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch trong cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c Iraq c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u2013 s\u1ebd g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n khi\u1ebfn n\u00f3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 th\u1eafng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c.<\/p>\n

Ng\u01b0\u1eddi Ukraine s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea9y l\u00f9i qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Nga tr\u00ean \u0111\u1ea5t Ukraine. Qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Nga \u1edf m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1eb3ng c\u1ea5p kh\u00e1c v\u1edbi Ukraine, v\u00e0 h\u01a1n n\u1eefa, Nga c\u00f2n l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n, trong khi Ukraine th\u00ec kh\u00f4ng. Cho \u0111\u1ebfn nay, qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Ukraine \u0111\u00e3 chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u v\u1edbi quy\u1ebft t\u00e2m v\u00e0 k\u1ef9 n\u0103ng \u0111\u00e1ng ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng m\u1ed9, nh\u01b0ng tr\u1edf ng\u1ea1i th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi b\u01b0\u1edbc ti\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a Nga ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 b\u1ea3n ch\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn. Qua c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng b\u1eb1ng t\u00ean l\u1eeda v\u00e0 bom t\u1eeb tr\u00ean kh\u00f4ng, Nga c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 san b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a Ukraine, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u01b0u th\u1ebf tr\u00ean chi\u1ebfn tr\u01b0\u1eddng. H\u1ecd c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1eed s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n \u1edf quy m\u00f4 nh\u1ecf \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1. N\u1ebfu Putin \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh n\u00e0y, kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 g\u00ec trong h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng Nga c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ng\u0103n c\u1ea3n \u00f4ng ta. \u201cH\u1ecd t\u1ea1o ra sa m\u1ea1c, v\u00e0 g\u1ecdi \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh\u201d, nh\u00e0 s\u1eed h\u1ecdc Tacitus t\u1eebng vi\u1ebft v\u1ec1 ngh\u1ec7 thu\u1eadt chi\u1ebfn tranh c\u1ee7a La M\u00e3, v\u00e0 g\u00e1n nh\u1eefng l\u1eddi n\u00e0y cho nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o chi\u1ebfn tranh ng\u01b0\u1eddi Anh Calgacus. \u0110\u00f3 c\u0169ng l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn cho Putin \u1edf Ukraine.<\/p>\n

D\u00f9 v\u1eady, \u00f4ng s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n tho\u00e1t kh\u1ecfi sa m\u1ea1c. Putin \u0111\u00e3 g\u00e2y chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec7m do Nga ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t, n\u1eb1m gi\u1eefa \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng v\u00e0 tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 an ninh do M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ea7u \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. \u00d4ng ta s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh kh\u1ecfi vi\u1ec7c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng m\u1ed9t c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh v\u00e0 duy tr\u00ec m\u1ed9t m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 n\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3 \u1edf Ukraine. Nh\u01b0ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n Ukraine \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n r\u1eb1ng h\u1ecd kh\u00f4ng mu\u1ed1n b\u1ecb chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u00f3ng. H\u1ecd s\u1ebd ch\u1ed1ng tr\u1ea3 quy\u1ebft li\u1ec7t \u2013 th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng kh\u00e1ng chi\u1ebfn di\u1ec5n ra m\u1ed7i ng\u00e0y, v\u00e0 th\u00f4ng qua m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c n\u1ed5i d\u1eady b\u00ean trong Ukraine, ho\u1eb7c ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 b\u00f9 nh\u00ecn \u1edf \u0110\u00f4ng Ukraine do qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Nga thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp. C\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00ecm th\u1ea5y \u0111i\u1ec3m t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 trong cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn ch\u1ed1ng Ph\u00e1p 1954-1962 c\u1ee7a Algeria. Ph\u00e1p l\u00e0 c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i. Tuy nhi\u00ean, ng\u01b0\u1eddi Algeria \u0111\u00e3 t\u00ecm ra c\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ec3 nghi\u1ec1n n\u00e1t qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Ph\u00e1p v\u00e0 ch\u1eb7n \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ebf t\u1eeb Paris.<\/p>\n

Putin c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1ef1ng l\u00ean m\u1ed9t ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 b\u00f9 nh\u00ecn, v\u1edbi Kyiv l\u00e0 th\u1ee7 \u0111\u00f4, m\u1ed9t ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Vichy c\u1ee7a Ukraine. Ho\u1eb7c \u00f4ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft t\u1eeb l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ea3nh s\u00e1t m\u1eadt \u0111\u1ec3 khu\u1ea5t ph\u1ee5c ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n c\u1ee7a thu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ecba Nga n\u00e0y. Belarus l\u00e0 v\u00ed d\u1ee5 v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh theo ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 chuy\u00ean ch\u1ebf, c\u1ed9ng v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00e0n \u00e1p c\u1ee7a c\u1ea3nh s\u00e1t, v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 h\u1eadu thu\u1eabn c\u1ee7a qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Nga. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh kh\u1ea3 thi cho m\u1ed9t mi\u1ec1n \u0111\u00f4ng Ukraine do Nga cai tr\u1ecb. Tuy nhi\u00ean, tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, n\u00f3 ch\u1eb3ng kh\u00e1c g\u00ec m\u1ed9t m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u1ea5y. M\u1ed9t Ukraine Nga h\u00f3a c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t \u1ea3o t\u01b0\u1edfng h\u00e0nh ch\u00ednh \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Moscow, v\u00e0 c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng theo nh\u1eefng \u1ea3o t\u01b0\u1edfng h\u00e0nh ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. Nh\u01b0ng n\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng bao gi\u1edd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng trong th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n l\u00e0 v\u00ec quy m\u00f4 v\u00e0 l\u1ecbch s\u1eed g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u1ee7a Ukraine.<\/p>\n

Trong c\u00e1c b\u00e0i ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh v\u1ec1 Ukraine, Putin d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 b\u1ecb \u00e1m \u1ea3nh v\u1ec1 giai \u0111o\u1ea1n gi\u1eefa th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 20. \u00d4ng ta b\u1eadn t\u00e2m v\u1ec1 ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c Ukraine th\u00e2n \u0110\u1ee9c c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1940. Do \u0111\u00f3, \u00f4ng nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1eadp \u0111\u1ebfn Ukraine Qu\u1ed1c x\u00e3, v\u00e0 kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh l\u00e0 \u201cphi ph\u00e1t x\u00edt h\u00f3a\u201d Ukraine. Ukraine \u0111\u00fang l\u00e0 c\u00f3 c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u1ef1c h\u1eefu. Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111i\u1ec1u m\u00e0 Putin kh\u00f4ng nh\u00ecn th\u1ea5y, ho\u1eb7c b\u1ecf qua, l\u00e0 t\u00e2m l\u00fd d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c (national belonging) ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn h\u01a1n v\u00e0 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u \u0111\u00e3 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n \u1edf Ukraine k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp kh\u1ecfi Li\u00ean X\u00f4 v\u00e0o n\u0103m 1991. Ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a Nga \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi C\u00e1ch m\u1ea1ng Maidan n\u0103m 2014 \u1edf Ukraine, v\u1ed1n qu\u00e9t s\u1ea1ch m\u1ed9t ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 th\u00e2n Nga tham nh\u0169ng, l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c b\u1ed5 sung cho t\u00e2m l\u00fd d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c n\u00e0y. K\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a Nga b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u, T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky \u0111\u00e3 v\u00f4 c\u00f9ng kh\u00e9o l\u00e9o trong vi\u1ec7c kh\u01a1i g\u1ee3i ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c Ukraine. S\u1ef1 chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1ee7a Nga s\u1ebd m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng \u00fd th\u1ee9c v\u1ec1 t\u1ed5 qu\u1ed1c (nationhood) c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n Ukraine, m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch t\u1ea1o ra nhi\u1ec1u \u201cth\u00e1nh t\u1eed \u0111\u1ea1o\u201d, nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi hy sinh v\u00ec d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c \u2013 gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 nh\u1eefng g\u00ec m\u00e0 h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u00f3ng Ba Lan c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ebf qu\u1ed1c Nga v\u00e0o th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 19 \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o ra v\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n Ba Lan.<\/p>\n

V\u00ec v\u1eady, \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3, chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u00f3ng s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb l\u1edbn, di\u1ec5n ra tr\u00ean \u00edt nh\u1ea5t m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a Ukraine. N\u00f3 s\u1ebd l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn t\u1ed1n k\u00e9m kh\u00f4n t\u1ea3. Ho\u1eb7c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 Putin \u0111\u00e3 ngh\u0129 \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111i\u1ec1u g\u00ec \u0111\u00f3 gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 Hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc Warsaw, t\u1eebng gi\u00fap Li\u00ean X\u00f4 cai tr\u1ecb nhi\u1ec1u qu\u1ed1c gia-d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng \u00e1n n\u00e0y c\u0169ng \u0111\u1eaft \u0111\u1ecf \u2013 nh\u01b0ng n\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1eaft b\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t m\u1ed9t khu v\u1ef1c n\u1ed5i lo\u1ea1n, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nhi\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i trang b\u1ecb t\u1eadn r\u0103ng, v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 ch\u1ef1c ch\u1edd \u0111\u00e1nh v\u00e0o b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 \u0111i\u1ec3m y\u1ebfu n\u00e0o c\u1ee7a Nga. M\u1ed9t n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c nh\u01b0 v\u1eady s\u1ebd ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0m c\u1ea1n ki\u1ec7t ng\u00e2n kh\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a Nga.<\/p>\n

Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t m\u00e0 M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t l\u00ean Nga s\u1ebd d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c t\u00e1ch Nga ra kh\u1ecfi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. \u0110\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m. V\u1ed1n s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n l\u1eafm m\u1edbi c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c. Chuy\u1ec3n giao c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 s\u1ebd ng\u01b0ng tr\u1ec7. C\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ebd \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda v\u1edbi Nga, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 bao g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00ed \u0111\u1ed1t v\u00e0 d\u1ea7u, m\u00e0 doanh s\u1ed1 t\u1eeb c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00e0y l\u1ea1i \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 quan tr\u1ecdng trong vi\u1ec7c hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ea1i h\u00f3a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Putin. D\u00f2ng ch\u1ea3y ch\u1ea5t x\u00e1m kinh doanh v\u00e0 kh\u1edfi nghi\u1ec7p s\u1ebd ch\u1ea3y ra kh\u1ecfi Nga. H\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 l\u00e2u d\u00e0i c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i n\u00e0y l\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c. Nh\u01b0 nh\u00e0 s\u1eed h\u1ecdc Paul Kennedy \u0111\u00e3 l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn trong The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers (S\u1ef1 H\u01b0ng th\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 Suy vong c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c C\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c), nh\u1eefng qu\u1ed1c gia nh\u01b0 v\u1eady c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng tham gia v\u00e0o c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh sai l\u1ea7m, g\u00e1nh th\u00eam g\u00e1nh n\u1eb7ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh, v\u00e0 do \u0111\u00f3 t\u1ef1 t\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111i t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf \u2013 huy\u1ebft m\u1ea1ch c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c. Trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh Nga c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khu\u1ea5t ph\u1ee5c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c Ukraine, th\u00ec Nga c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ef1 h\u1ee7y ho\u1ea1i ch\u00ednh m\u00ecnh trong qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n

M\u1ed9t bi\u1ebfn s\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng trong h\u1ed3i k\u1ebft c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn n\u00e0y l\u00e0 c\u00f4ng ch\u00fang Nga. Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Putin \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 trong qu\u00e1 kh\u1ee9. \u1ede Nga, s\u00e1p nh\u1eadp Crimea l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n n\u1ed5i ti\u1ebfng. T\u00ednh quy\u1ebft \u0111o\u00e1n c\u1ee7a Putin kh\u00f4ng h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 ng\u01b0\u1eddi Nga, nh\u01b0ng n\u00f3 v\u1eabn h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c duy tr\u00ec trong nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a Putin \u1edf Ukraine. Th\u01b0\u01a1ng vong c\u1ee7a l\u00ednh Nga s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u1edb, v\u00e0 n\u00f3 c\u0169ng s\u1ebd t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u01a1, nh\u01b0 trong t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh kh\u00e1c, l\u00e0 bi\u1ebfn th\u01b0\u01a1ng vong th\u00e0nh h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u00f3 m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng chi\u1ebfn tranh v\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch tuy\u00ean truy\u1ec1n. M\u1ed9t n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u nh\u1eb1m c\u00f4 l\u1eadp Nga c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u1ea3n t\u00e1c d\u1ee5ng, n\u1ebfu th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i b\u1ecb ch\u1eb7n \u0111\u1ee9ng, khi\u1ebfn ng\u01b0\u1eddi Nga ph\u1ea3i g\u1eafn c\u0103n t\u00ednh d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c m\u00ecnh v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t b\u00ecnh v\u00e0 ph\u1eabn n\u1ed9.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n kh\u1ea3 d\u0129 h\u01a1n l\u00e0 n\u1ed7i kinh ho\u00e0ng c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn n\u00e0y s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3n t\u00e1c d\u1ee5ng v\u1edbi ch\u00ednh Putin. Ng\u01b0\u1eddi Nga \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng xu\u1ed1ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i c\u00e1c v\u1ee5 \u0111\u00e1nh bom c\u1ee7a Nga v\u00e0o Aleppo, Syria, h\u1ed3i n\u0103m 2016, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 th\u1ea3m h\u1ecda nh\u00e2n \u0111\u1ea1o m\u00e0 c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Nga \u0111\u00e3 ti\u1ebfp tay trong cu\u1ed9c n\u1ed9i chi\u1ebfn t\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e2y. Nh\u01b0ng Ukraine mang m\u1ed9t \u00fd ngh\u0129a ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n kh\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1eddi Nga. H\u00e0ng tri\u1ec7u gia \u0111\u00ecnh Nga-Ukraine c\u00f3 li\u00ean k\u1ebft v\u1edbi nhau. Hai n\u01b0\u1edbc chia s\u1ebb v\u0103n h\u00f3a, ng\u00f4n ng\u1eef, v\u00e0 t\u00f4n gi\u00e1o. Th\u00f4ng tin v\u1ec1 nh\u1eefng g\u00ec \u0111ang x\u1ea3y ra \u1edf Ukraine s\u1ebd tr\u00e0n v\u00e0o Nga qua m\u1ea1ng x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i v\u00e0 c\u00e1c k\u00eanh kh\u00e1c, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 b\u00e1c b\u1ecf v\u00e0 l\u00e0m m\u1ea5t uy t\u00edn c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c tuy\u00ean truy\u1ec1n vi\u00ean. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng l\u01b0\u1ee1ng nan v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ea1o \u0111\u1ee9c m\u00e0 Putin kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft ch\u1ec9 b\u1eb1ng \u0111\u00e0n \u00e1p. S\u1ef1 \u0111\u00e0n \u00e1p ch\u00ednh n\u00f3 c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u1ea3n t\u00e1c d\u1ee5ng. \u0110\u00e2y n\u00e0o ph\u1ea3i chuy\u1ec7n l\u1ea1 trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed Nga: ch\u1ec9 c\u1ea7n h\u1ecfi ng\u01b0\u1eddi Li\u00ean X\u00f4 th\u00ec bi\u1ebft.<\/p>\n

H\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 cho t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai<\/strong><\/p>\n

H\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c Nga thua t\u1ea1i Ukraine s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0 M\u1ef9 ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c mang t\u00ednh n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng. Gi\u1ea3 s\u1eed m\u1ed9t ng\u00e0y n\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3 Nga bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i r\u00fat qu\u00e2n, th\u00ec vi\u1ec7c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng l\u1ea1i Ukraine, v\u1edbi m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb l\u00e0 ch\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3n n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y gia nh\u1eadp EU v\u00e0 NATO, s\u1ebd l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t nhi\u1ec7m v\u1ee5 n\u1eb7ng n\u1ec1. V\u00e0 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ec3 Ukraine th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa. M\u1eb7t kh\u00e1c, m\u1ed9t h\u00ecnh th\u1ee9c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t y\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a Nga \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Ukraine c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed3ng ngh\u0129a v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t khu v\u1ef1c giao tranh li\u00ean t\u1ee5c, c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u r\u1ea1n n\u1ee9t, b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n, v\u1edbi c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf ho\u1eb7c kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3, n\u1eb1m ngay ph\u00eda \u0111\u00f4ng bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi c\u1ee7a NATO. Th\u1ea3m h\u1ecda nh\u00e2n \u0111\u1ea1o s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 b\u1ea5t c\u1ee9 \u0111i\u1ec1u g\u00ec m\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u t\u1eebng ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn su\u1ed1t h\u00e0ng th\u1eadp ni\u00ean qua.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00e1ng lo ng\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng k\u00e9m l\u00e0 vi\u1ec5n c\u1ea3nh v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga b\u1ecb suy y\u1ebfu v\u00e0 b\u1ecb s\u1ec9 nh\u1ee5c, \u00e2m th\u1ea7m d\u1ed3n n\u00e9n nh\u1eefng c\u1ea3m x\u00fac ph\u1ee5c th\u00f9 gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 nh\u1eefng g\u00ec \u0111\u00e3 n\u1ed5i l\u00ean \u1edf \u0110\u1ee9c sau Th\u1ebf chi\u1ebfn 1. N\u1ebfu Putin duy tr\u00ec quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh, Nga s\u1ebd tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia b\u1ecb b\u00e0i x\u00edch, m\u1ed9t si\u00eau c\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t h\u1ea3o v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed9i qu\u00e2n b\u1ecb h\u1ea1 c\u1ea5p, nh\u01b0ng kho v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n th\u00ec v\u1eabn c\u00f2n nguy\u00ean. T\u1ed9i l\u1ed7i v\u00e0 v\u1ebft nh\u01a1 c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn Ukraine s\u1ebd \u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u1edbi ch\u00ednh tr\u01b0\u1eddng Nga th\u00eam v\u00e0i ch\u1ee5c n\u0103m, hi\u1ebfm khi n\u00e0o m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia thu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ee3i \u00edch t\u1eeb m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 thua. S\u1ef1 v\u00f4 \u00edch c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng chi ph\u00ed b\u1ecf ra cho cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3, th\u01b0\u01a1ng vong nh\u00e2n m\u1ea1ng, v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 suy gi\u1ea3m v\u1ecb th\u1ebf \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb s\u1ebd x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cho n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga v\u00e0 cho ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i Nga trong nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m t\u1edbi, v\u00e0 s\u1ebd r\u1ea5t kh\u00f3 \u0111\u1ec3 h\u00ecnh dung m\u1ed9t n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga t\u1ef1 do tr\u1ed7i d\u1eady sau nh\u1eefng g\u00ec kh\u1ee7ng khi\u1ebfp c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

Ngay c\u1ea3 khi Putin m\u1ea5t \u0111i quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c \u1edf Nga, n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y c\u0169ng kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t n\u1ec1n d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 th\u00e2n ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y. H\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb chia t\u00e1ch, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 \u1edf B\u1eafc Caucasus. Ho\u1eb7c c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 \u0111\u1ed9c t\u00e0i qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 s\u1edf h\u1eefu v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng sai khi hy v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga t\u1ed1t \u0111\u1eb9p h\u01a1n, v\u00e0 v\u1ec1 c\u00e1i ng\u00e0y m\u00e0 m\u1ed9t n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga th\u1eddi h\u1eadu Putin c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 h\u1ed9i nh\u1eadp v\u00e0o ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. H\u1ecd n\u00ean l\u00e0m nh\u1eefng g\u00ec c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n cho kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng n\u00e0y, ngay c\u1ea3 khi h\u1ecd ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a Putin. Tuy nhi\u00ean, h\u1ecd s\u1ebd th\u1eadt sai l\u1ea7m n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb cho nh\u1eefng k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n \u0111en t\u1ed1i h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

L\u1ecbch s\u1eed \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ec9 ra r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng m\u1ed9t tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u00e0 v\u00f4 c\u00f9ng kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n, n\u1ebfu c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c theo khuynh h\u01b0\u1edbng ph\u1ee5c th\u00f9, b\u1ecb s\u1ec9 nh\u1ee5c \u1edf v\u1ecb tr\u00ed trung t\u00e2m c\u1ee7a n\u00f3, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c v\u1edbi t\u1ea7m c\u1ee1 c\u1ee7a Nga. \u0110\u1ec3 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1, ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn li\u00ean t\u1ee5c c\u00f4 l\u1eadp v\u00e0 ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n. Gi\u1eef Nga \u1edf th\u1ebf y\u1ebfu, v\u00e0 gi\u1eef M\u1ef9 \u1edf l\u1ea1i c\u00f9ng m\u00ecnh s\u1ebd tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh \u01b0u ti\u00ean \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ch\u00e2u \u00c2u trong m\u1ed9t k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, b\u1edfi ch\u00e2u \u00c2u ph\u1ea3i g\u00e1nh tr\u1ecdng tr\u00e1ch ch\u00ednh trong vi\u1ec7c qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd m\u1ed9t n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga b\u1ecb c\u00f4 l\u1eadp sau cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i \u1edf Ukraine. V\u1ec1 ph\u1ea7n m\u00ecnh, Washington mu\u1ed1n t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o Trung Qu\u1ed1c. C\u00f2n Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga \u0111ang suy y\u1ebfu \u2013 t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t li\u00ean minh c\u00f9ng s\u1ef1 th\u1ed1ng tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c m\u00e0 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y mu\u1ed1n ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 2020.<\/p>\n

Tr\u1ea3 b\u1ea5t c\u1ee9 c\u00e1i gi\u00e1 n\u00e0o?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Kh\u00f4ng ai trong hay ngo\u00e0i n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga mu\u1ed1n Putin chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng trong cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn \u1edf Ukraine. T\u1ed1t h\u01a1n h\u1ebft l\u00e0 \u00f4ng ta thua tr\u1eadn. Tuy nhi\u00ean, m\u1ed9t th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Nga s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 l\u00fd do \u0111\u1ec3 \u0103n m\u1eebng. N\u1ebfu Nga ng\u1eebng x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c, th\u00ec b\u1ea1o l\u1ef1c \u0111\u00e3 g\u00e2y ra cho Ukraine v\u1eabn l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t v\u1ebft th\u01b0\u01a1ng h\u1eb1n s\u00e2u nhi\u1ec1u th\u1ebf h\u1ec7, nh\u01b0ng v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 l\u00e0 Nga s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng s\u1edbm ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c. M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u n\u00ean t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c khai th\u00e1c nh\u1eefng sai l\u1ea7m c\u1ee7a Putin, kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 li\u00ean minh xuy\u00ean \u0110\u1ea1i T\u00e2y D\u01b0\u01a1ng, v\u00e0 khuy\u1ebfn kh\u00edch ng\u01b0\u1eddi ch\u00e2u \u00c2u h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng theo mong mu\u1ed1n l\u00e2u d\u00e0i c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd v\u1ec1 ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c, m\u00e0 c\u00f2n b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch l\u00e0m cho Trung Qu\u1ed1c th\u1ea5y r\u00f5 b\u00e0i h\u1ecdc th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Nga: h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c c\u00e1c chu\u1ea9n m\u1ef1c qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n qu\u1ed1c gia, s\u1ebd \u0111i k\u00e8m v\u1edbi chi ph\u00ed th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, v\u00e0 ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a phi\u00eau l\u01b0u qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 s\u1ebd l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn \u0111i theo con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n

N\u1ebfu m\u1ed9t ng\u00e0y n\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3, M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u00fap Ukraine\u00a0kh\u00f4i ph\u1ee5c ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, n\u1ebfu h\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y Nga c\u00f9ng\u00a0Trung Qu\u1ed1c\u00a0chia s\u1ebb nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c v\u1ec1 tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf, th\u00ec sai l\u1ea7m l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Putin s\u1ebd tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i cho ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y. Nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1i gi\u00e1 ph\u1ea3i tr\u1ea3 s\u1ebd l\u00e0 c\u1ef1c k\u1ef3 \u0111\u1eaft.<\/p>\n

BDN<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n

Aufrufe: 308<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Moscow kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng c\u1ee7a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y. T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Nga Vladimir Putin \u0111\u00e3 m\u1eafc sai l\u1ea7m chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c khi x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c Ukraine. \u00d4ng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 sai k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi Ukraine, v\u1ed1n kh\u00f4ng ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3i ph\u00f3ng b\u1edfi nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi l\u00ednh Nga. \u00d4ng c\u0169ng …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[97,1,37],"tags":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9981"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9981"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9981\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9984,"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9981\/revisions\/9984"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9981"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9981"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/east-sea.de\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9981"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}